MGRC
McGrath RentCorp
MGRC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over MGRC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
MGRC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MGRC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MGRC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $86.10 | -34% |
| Fair | 18x | $118 | -9.3% |
| Current | 20x | $130 | — |
| Forward | 20x | $130 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $138 | +6.1% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MGRC's PE is in its expensive range at 20.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 20.0x.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGRC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MGRC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over MGRC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MGRC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.51 | +0.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.49 | +9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.21 | -40% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.30 | -35% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.35 | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.91 | -35% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.27 | +118% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.65 | +88% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.43 | +32% |
MGRC has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
MGRC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $274.6M | +7.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $221.1M | -6.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $198.5M | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $256.8M | +5.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $256.4M | -3.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $235.6M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $195.4M | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $243.7M | +10% |
MGRC's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $275M last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | +4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +0.8 points |
MGRC has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over MGRC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MGRC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $53.7M | +0.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $52M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.3M | -31% |
| Q4 2025 | $69.8M | +114% |
| Q3 2025 | $53.5M | -72% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.2M | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $49.9M | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $32.6M | +$83.7M |
MGRC has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
MGRC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -43K shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -193K shares |
| 3 years | -0.3% | -74K shares |
| 5 years | -0.2% | -56K shares |
| Available history | -1% | -246K shares |
MGRC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $15.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $11.9M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | $116,000 |
| Q2 2020 | $5.6M |
| Q1 2020 | $7.9M |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MGRC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
MGRC has more cash than debt.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MGRC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 69.4 | Neutral |
MGRC's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MGRC PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | MGRC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 24x | 17% below |
| PE % | 68 | 58 | 10 pts above |
MGRC is trading at 20x earnings, a 17% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGRC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $118.5 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $117.0 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $113.5 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $114.1 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $109.9 | 18% above |
MGRC has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
MGRC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.5 | $64.2 | -17% |
| 2021 | $64.2 | $79.6 | +24% |
| 2022 | $79.6 | $98.0 | +23% |
| 2023 | $98.0 | $119.6 | +22% |
| 2024 | $119.6 | $110.8 | -7.4% |
| 2025 | $110.8 | $108.1 | -2.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $108.1 | $130.0 | +20% |
MGRC has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.