MGR
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.
MGR has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MGR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MGR's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MGR.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
MGR PE Valuation
MGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
MGR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MGR, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
MGR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28.30 | +68% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.53 | +108% |
| Q1 2026 | $24.38 | +85% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.74 | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.82 | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.73 | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.19 | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.13 | -13% |
MGR earned $28.30 per share over the past year, up 68% from the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over MGR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MGR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $595.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $640.7M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $544.9M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $556.6M | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $528M | +2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $493.2M | -1.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $496.6M | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $524.3M | +4.3% |
MGR's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $595M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 54% | -14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | +9.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 94% | +42 points |
| Q3 2025 | 69% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | -25 points |
| Q4 2024 | 52% | -2.3 points |
MGR has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over MGR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MGR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $360.1M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $239M | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $295.5M | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $254.5M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $275.9M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $229.4M | -6.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $207.3M | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $211.4M | -15% |
MGR has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
MGR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -21% | -6.8M shares |
| 3 years | -38% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -43% | -19.3M shares |
| Available history | -48% | -24.5M shares |
MGR has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $402.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $179.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $185.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $353.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $75.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $101.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $176.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $120.3M |
MGR spent $1.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 137% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
MGR Net Leverage
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
MGR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 25.3 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 10.8 | Oversold |
MGR's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
MGR PE vs Financial Services Sector
MGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MGR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $18.8 | 4.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $19.5 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $20.2 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.9 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.9 | 18% below |
MGR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over MGR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MGR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.3 | $28.0 | +2.7% |
| 2021 | $28.0 | $27.2 | -2.9% |
| 2022 | $27.2 | $22.6 | -17% |
| 2023 | $22.6 | $22.5 | -0.2% |
| 2024 | $22.5 | $21.8 | -3.4% |
| 2025 | $21.8 | $21.5 | -1.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.5 | $17.9 | -16% |
MGR has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 16% so far in 2026.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over MGR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.