MGNI

Magnite, Inc.

78
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

MGNI has the edge over RDDT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MGNI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

MGNI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MGNI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE300x599x899x1199x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE300x599x899x1199x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$23.34-20%
Forward22x$29.34—
Current24x$29.34—
Fair72x$86.77+196%
Expensive291x$349+1091%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MGNI's PE is in its cheap range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over MGNI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MGNI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MGNI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MGNI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$44.96
Downside-32%$20.05

Calculated from the latest close: $29.34 on Nov 12.

MGNI trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MGNI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MGNI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.17Q1 2024: $-0.57Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.31Q3 2025: $0.40Q4 2025: $0.95Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.10Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $1.32
Q4 2023: $-1.17Q1 2024: $-0.57Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $0.13Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.22Q2 2025: $0.31Q3 2025: $0.40Q4 2025: $0.95Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.10Q3 2026: $1.20Forward: $1.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.32+10%
Q3 2026$1.20+200%
Q2 2026$1.10+255%
Q1 2026$1.05+377%
Q4 2025$0.95+494%
Q3 2025$0.40+208%
Q2 2025$0.31+$0.35
Q1 2025$0.22+$0.79
Q4 2024$0.16+$1.33

MGNI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 200% for MGNI versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MGNI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $163MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $164MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $204M
Q4 2023: $187MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $163MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $164MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $204M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$204.2M+14%
Q2 2026$192.8M+11%
Q1 2026$164.4M+5.5%
Q4 2025$205.4M+5.9%
Q3 2025$179.5M+11%
Q2 2025$173.3M+6.4%
Q1 2025$155.8M+4.3%
Q4 2024$194M+3.8%

MGNI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $204M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over MGNI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MGNI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: −$66MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $111MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: −$130MQ2 2026: $174MQ3 2026: $93M
Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: −$66MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $111MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $103MQ1 2026: −$130MQ2 2026: $174MQ3 2026: $93M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$93M+36%
Q2 2026$174.5M+2801%
Q1 2026-$130.2M-$118.4M
Q4 2025$103.1M-7.1%
Q3 2025$68.4M-12%
Q2 2025$6M-93%
Q1 2025-$11.8M+$54.5M
Q4 2024$111M+40%

MGNI generated $240M in free cash flow over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over MGNI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MGNI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 137MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 148MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 154MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 151M
Q4 2023: 137MQ1 2024: 139MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 149MQ4 2024: 147MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 148MQ3 2025: 153MQ4 2025: 154MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 151M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+3.6M shares
1 year-1.5%-2.4M shares
3 years+9.8%+13.4M shares
5 years+15%+19.3M shares
Available history+153%+91.2M shares

MGNI has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MGNI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MGNI has more cash than debt.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over MGNI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MGNI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.6Neutral
Stochastic73.9Neutral

MGNI's weekly RSI is 70 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MGNI PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMGNISector medianRelative
PE24x16x48% above
PE %28262 pts above

MGNI is trading at 24x earnings, a 48% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT has the edge over MGNI on valuation relative to its sector.

MGNI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$24.818% above
20 week MA$23.326% above
50 week MA$17.865% above
100 week MA$17.964% above
200 week MA$14.5102% above

MGNI has stronger trend alignment. MGNI is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

MGNI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.38$32.5+288%
2021$32.5$18.8-42%
2022$18.8$10.7-43%
2023$10.7$9.34-13%
2024$9.34$16.4+75%
2025$16.4$16.5+0.5%
2026 YTD$16.5$29.3+78%

MGNI has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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