MGM
MGM Resorts International
MGM has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MGM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MGM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MGM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.2x | $21.76 | -35% |
| Current | 13x | $33.24 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $36.28 | +9.2% |
| Forward | 25x | $33.24 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $88.90 | +167% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MGM's PE is in its fair range at 13x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 25x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MGM's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over MGM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
MGM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.35 | -49% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.64 | +1550% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.66 | -8.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.73 | -67% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.76 | -68% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.16 | -94% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.82 | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.24 | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.40 | -25% |
MGM has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
MGM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | -0.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.5B | +4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.6B | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.3B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.3B | -2.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B | -0.7% |
MGM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $4.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.8% | -2.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2.7% | -10 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.2% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.7% | -2.9 points |
MGM has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over MGM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MGM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $310.8M | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $317.4M | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $413.1M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $358.5M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $405.4M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $377.4M | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $319M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $267.5M | -31% |
MGM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
MGM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -5.8M shares |
| 1 year | -7.5% | -20.6M shares |
| 3 years | -28% | -99.4M shares |
| 5 years | -48% | -232M shares |
| Available history | -52% | -276M shares |
MGM has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $173.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $88.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $511.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $12,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $227.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $489.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $119.8M |
MGM spent $774M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 7.6% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MGM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
MGM's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MGM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.4 | Neutral |
MGM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MGM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MGM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 18x | 30% below |
| PE % | 36 | 47 | 11 pts below |
MGM is trading at 13x earnings, a 30% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.6 | 8.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.4 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $38.4 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.1 | 7.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $38.8 | 14% below |
MGM has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MGM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.6 | $30.7 | -8.5% |
| 2021 | $30.7 | $45.7 | +49% |
| 2022 | $45.7 | $33.8 | -26% |
| 2023 | $33.8 | $44.7 | +32% |
| 2024 | $44.7 | $34.8 | -22% |
| 2025 | $34.8 | $37.7 | +8.4% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.7 | $33.2 | -12% |
MGM has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.