MGEE

MGE Energy, Inc.

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

MGEE has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MGEE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Weak
Unavailable

MGEE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MGEE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.6x17x26x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$79.17โ€”
Forward19x$79.17โ€”
Cheap22x$94.82+20%
Fair25x$109+38%
Expensive28x$120+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MGEE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19x.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MGEE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MGEE, with profitability improving.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MGEE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$97.18
Downside-9%$72.27

Calculated from the latest close: $79.17 on Nov 12.

MGEE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR trails MGEE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MGEE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.25Q1 2024: $3.32Q2 2024: $3.19Q3 2024: $3.27Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $3.54Q2 2025: $3.60Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $3.72Q1 2026: $3.90Q2 2026: $4.07Q3 2026: $4.33Forward: $4.22
Q4 2023: $3.25Q1 2024: $3.32Q2 2024: $3.19Q3 2024: $3.27Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $3.54Q2 2025: $3.60Q3 2025: $3.69Q4 2025: $3.72Q1 2026: $3.90Q2 2026: $4.07Q3 2026: $4.33Forward: $4.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.22-2.4%
Q3 2026$4.33+17%
Q2 2026$4.07+13%
Q1 2026$3.90+10%
Q4 2025$3.72+12%
Q3 2025$3.69+13%
Q2 2025$3.60+13%
Q1 2025$3.54+6.6%
Q4 2024$3.33+2.5%

MGEE has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

MGEE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $159MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $190MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $190M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $146MQ3 2024: $168MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $219MQ2 2025: $159MQ3 2025: $176MQ4 2025: $190MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $190M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$190.4M+8.4%
Q2 2026$161.2M+1.1%
Q1 2026$242.7M+11%
Q4 2025$189.6M+11%
Q3 2025$175.7M+4.3%
Q2 2025$159.5M+9.4%
Q1 2025$219M+14%
Q4 2024$171.4M+4.1%

MGEE's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $190M last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

MGEE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$28MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: โˆ’$5MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: โˆ’$8MQ3 2025: โˆ’$49MQ4 2025: โˆ’$53MQ1 2026: โˆ’$20MQ2 2026: โˆ’$42MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$28MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: โˆ’$2MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: โˆ’$5MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: โˆ’$8MQ3 2025: โˆ’$49MQ4 2025: โˆ’$53MQ1 2026: โˆ’$20MQ2 2026: โˆ’$42MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.9M+$60M
Q2 2026-$41.6M-$33.6M
Q1 2026-$20.4M-168%
Q4 2025-$53.1M-$48.2M
Q3 2025-$49.1M-282%
Q2 2025-$8M-$5.8M
Q1 2025$30.2M+44%
Q4 2024-$4.9M+$23.3M

SMR has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 161% versus its history, compared with MGEE at down 498%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

MGEE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+562K shares
1 year+3.9%+1.4M shares
3 years+5.1%+1.8M shares
5 years+5.1%+1.8M shares
Available history+9.7%+3.4M shares

MGEE has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

MGEE Net Leverage

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MGEE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.7Neutral
Stochastic66.2Neutral

MGEE's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

MGEE PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricMGEESector medianRelative
PE18x20x10% below
PE %24442 pts below

MGEE is trading at 18x earnings, a 10% discount to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MGEE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.87.3% above
20 week MA$77.42.4% above
50 week MA$77.91.6% above
100 week MA$83.04.6% below
200 week MA$80.71.8% below

MGEE has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

MGEE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.2$69.4-12%
2021$69.4$78.8+14%
2022$78.8$71.7-9.1%
2023$71.7$72.3+0.9%
2024$72.3$95.1+32%
2025$95.1$78.4-18%
2026 YTD$78.4$79.2+1%

MGEE has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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