MGA

Magna International Inc.

55
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MGA has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MGA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

MGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MGA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.3x$62.37—
Cheap10x$27.49-56%
Fair15x$39.61-36%
Current23x$62.37—
Expensive27x$72.35+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MGA has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MGA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MGA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MGA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$79.49
Downside-12%$54.83

Calculated from the latest close: $62.37 on Nov 12.

MGA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails MGA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MGA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.61Q4 2023: $4.22Q1 2024: $3.52Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $3.74Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.26Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $2.95Q1 2026: $2.38Q2 2026: $2.70Forward: $7.53
Q3 2023: $3.61Q4 2023: $4.22Q1 2024: $3.52Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $3.74Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.26Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $2.95Q1 2026: $2.38Q2 2026: $2.70Forward: $7.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.53+179%
Q2 2026$2.70-37%
Q1 2026$2.38-41%
Q4 2025$2.95-16%
Q3 2025$3.66-2.1%
Q2 2025$4.26+24%
Q1 2025$4.00+14%
Q4 2024$3.51-17%
Q3 2024$3.74+3.6%

MGA has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

MGA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $10.7BQ4 2023: $10.5BQ1 2024: $11BQ2 2024: $11BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.6BQ1 2025: $10.1BQ2 2025: $10.6BQ3 2025: $10.5BQ4 2025: $11BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $10.7B
Q3 2023: $10.7BQ4 2023: $10.5BQ1 2024: $11BQ2 2024: $11BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.6BQ1 2025: $10.1BQ2 2025: $10.6BQ3 2025: $10.5BQ4 2025: $11BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $10.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$10.7B+0.7%
Q1 2026$10.2B+1.7%
Q4 2025$11B+3.6%
Q3 2025$10.5B+1.8%
Q2 2025$10.6B-3%
Q1 2025$10.1B-8.2%
Q4 2024$10.6B+1.7%
Q3 2024$10.3B-3.8%

MGA has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MGA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $144MQ4 2023: $634MQ1 2024: −$232MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $251MQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: −$191MQ2 2025: $381MQ3 2025: $645MQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $458MQ2 2026: $654M
Q3 2023: $144MQ4 2023: $634MQ1 2024: −$232MQ2 2024: $236MQ3 2024: $251MQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: −$191MQ2 2025: $381MQ3 2025: $645MQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $458MQ2 2026: $654M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$654M+72%
Q1 2026$458M+$649M
Q4 2025$1.5B+21%
Q3 2025$645M+157%
Q2 2025$381M+61%
Q1 2025-$191M+$41M
Q4 2024$1.2B+89%
Q3 2024$251M+74%

MGA has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

MGA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 287MQ4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 287MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 287MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 282MQ3 2025: 282MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 278MQ2 2026: 273M
Q3 2023: 287MQ4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 287MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 287MQ4 2024: 286MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 282MQ3 2025: 282MQ4 2025: 281MQ1 2026: 278MQ2 2026: 273M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-4.9M shares
1 year-3%-8.5M shares
3 years-4.6%-13.1M shares
5 years-10%-30.4M shares
Available history-12%-37.5M shares

MGA has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MGA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.0xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5x
Q3 2023: 2.0xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy
Q3 20241.9xHealthy

MGA's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over MGA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MGA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.9Neutral
Stochastic10.9Oversold

MGA's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MGA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMGASector medianRelative
PE23x18x28% above
PE %704723 pts above

MGA has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MGA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.02.5% below
20 week MA$65.95.3% below
50 week MA$61.61.2% above
100 week MA$51.222% above
200 week MA$51.222% above

MGA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 22% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over MGA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MGA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.3$70.6+28%
2021$70.6$79.5+13%
2022$79.5$55.5-30%
2023$55.5$59.1+6.5%
2024$59.1$42.2-29%
2025$42.2$54.0+28%
2026 YTD$54.0$62.4+16%

MGA has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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