MGA
Magna International Inc.
MGA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over MGA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MGA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MGA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.3x | $62.37 | — |
| Cheap | 10x | $27.49 | -56% |
| Fair | 15x | $39.61 | -36% |
| Current | 23x | $62.37 | — |
| Expensive | 27x | $72.35 | +16% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MGA's PE is in its expensive range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MGA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over MGA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MGA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.53 | +179% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.70 | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.38 | -41% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.95 | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.66 | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.26 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.00 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.51 | -17% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.74 | +3.6% |
MGA has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
MGA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $10.7B | +0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $11B | +3.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.5B | +1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.6B | -3% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1B | -8.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.6B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.3B | -3.8% |
MGA's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $10.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5.6% | +0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.8% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.2% | +3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.9% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.8% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.4% | +5.4 points |
MGA has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over MGA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MGA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +72% |
| Q1 2026 | $458M | +$649M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $645M | +157% |
| Q2 2025 | $381M | +61% |
| Q1 2025 | -$191M | +$41M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +89% |
| Q3 2024 | $251M | +74% |
MGA has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
MGA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -4.9M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -8.5M shares |
| 3 years | -4.6% | -13.1M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -30.4M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -37.5M shares |
MGA has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $465M |
| Q1 2026 | $440M |
| Q4 2025 | $86M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $961,376 |
| Q1 2025 | $51M |
| Q4 2024 | $202M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
MGA spent $991M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MGA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
MGA's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MGA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.9 | Oversold |
MGA's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MGA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MGA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 28% above |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
MGA is trading at 23x earnings, a 28% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MGA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $64.0 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $65.9 | 5.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $61.6 | 1.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $51.2 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $51.2 | 22% above |
MGA has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
MGA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $55.3 | $70.6 | +28% |
| 2021 | $70.6 | $79.5 | +13% |
| 2022 | $79.5 | $55.5 | -30% |
| 2023 | $55.5 | $59.1 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | $59.1 | $42.2 | -29% |
| 2025 | $42.2 | $54.0 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.0 | $62.4 | +16% |
MGA has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.