MFIC

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score MFIC yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MFIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

MFIC's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MFIC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

MFIC PE Valuation

MFIC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

MFIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MFIC's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over MFIC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

MFIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $10.18 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MFIC and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MFIC and MS's risk to reward.

MFIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $1.75Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.56Q4 2024: $1.36Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $0.66Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.85Forward: $1.29
Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $1.75Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $1.56Q4 2024: $1.36Q1 2025: $1.29Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $0.66Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $-0.36Q3 2026: $-0.85Forward: $1.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.29—
Q3 2026-$0.85-177%
Q2 2026-$0.36-132%
Q1 2026$0.04-97%
Q4 2025$0.66-51%
Q3 2025$1.11-29%
Q2 2025$1.13-34%
Q1 2025$1.29-26%
Q4 2024$1.36-25%

MFIC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.85 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over MFIC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MFIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2022$63.3M+65%
Q3 2022$39.4M-7.8%
Q2 2022$25.2M-48%
Q1 2022$22.1M-62%
Q4 2021$38.4M-24%
Q3 2021$42.7M-16%
Q2 2021$48.5M+122%
Q4 2020$50.3M+127%

MFIC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 65% for MFIC versus up 12% for MS.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MFIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$64MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: −$131MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: $203M
Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: −$64MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: −$131MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: $166MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: $203M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$202.7M+22%
Q2 2026$189.3M+$280.4M
Q1 2026$169.4M+$300.7M
Q4 2025$6.3M-88%
Q3 2025$166.3M+$176.4M
Q2 2025-$91M-$27.5M
Q1 2025-$131.3M-1501%
Q4 2024$54.8M-30%

MFIC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MFIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 82M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 93MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 82M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-172K shares
1 year-12%-10.9M shares
3 years+26%+17.1M shares
5 years+27%+17.3M shares
Available history+24%+15.8M shares

MFIC has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

MFIC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202226.1xHigh
Q3 202231.1xHigh
Q2 202228.0xHigh
Q1 202218.5xHigh
Q4 202112.9xHigh
Q3 202111.8xHigh
Q2 202110.2xHigh
Q1 202112.6xHigh

MFIC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 13 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MFIC.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MFIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.5Neutral
Stochastic93.4Overbought

MFIC's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 93 (overbought).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MFIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMFICSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

MFIC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MFIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.1911% above
20 week MA$9.447.8% above
50 week MA$10.42.4% below
100 week MA$11.612% below
200 week MA$12.619% below

MFIC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 19% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over MFIC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MFIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.5$10.8-39%
2021$10.8$13.0+21%
2022$13.0$11.6-11%
2023$11.6$13.7+18%
2024$13.7$13.6-1%
2025$13.6$11.5-15%
2026 YTD$11.5$10.2-11%

MFIC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over MFIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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