MFC

Manulife Financial Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score MFC yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MFC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MFC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

MFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$17.83-59%
Fair9x$23.36-47%
Expensive16x$41.54-5.4%
Current17x$43.92—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MFC's PE is 17x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over MFC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MFC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MFC to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

MFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $43.92 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MFC and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MFC and MS's risk to reward.

MFC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.90Q4 2023: $1.83Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $1.85Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $2.19Q4 2025: $2.16Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.59
Q3 2023: $1.90Q4 2023: $1.83Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.99Q4 2024: $1.99Q1 2025: $1.85Q2 2025: $2.17Q3 2025: $2.19Q4 2025: $2.16Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.59+19%
Q1 2026$2.43+31%
Q4 2025$2.16+8.5%
Q3 2025$2.19+10%
Q2 2025$2.17+32%
Q1 2025$1.85+13%
Q4 2024$1.99+8.7%
Q3 2024$1.99+4.7%

MFC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.59 over the past year, up 19% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over MFC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MFC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $14BQ4 2023: −$15.5BQ1 2024: $24.7BQ2 2024: $13BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $28.9BQ3 2025: $12.2BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $8.7BQ2 2026: $13.9B
Q3 2023: $14BQ4 2023: −$15.5BQ1 2024: $24.7BQ2 2024: $13BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $28.9BQ3 2025: $12.2BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $8.7BQ2 2026: $13.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$13.9B-52%
Q1 2026$8.7B+36%
Q4 2025$6B+104%
Q3 2025$12.2B+19%
Q2 2025$28.9B+123%
Q1 2025$6.4B-74%
Q3 2024$10.2B-27%
Q2 2024$13B-20%

MFC's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $13.9B last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over MFC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MFC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3.9BQ4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $6.4B
Q3 2023: $3.9BQ4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.1BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $6.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.4B+25%
Q1 2026$2.5B-47%
Q4 2025$6B+21%
Q3 2025$6.7B+27%
Q2 2025$5.1B0%
Q1 2025$4.7B+46%
Q4 2024$5B+16%
Q3 2024$5.3B+37%

MFC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MFC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.9BQ4 2023: 1.9BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.7BQ2 2025: 1.7BQ3 2025: 1.7BQ4 2025: 1.7BQ1 2026: 1.7BQ2 2026: 1.7B
Q3 2023: 1.9BQ4 2023: 1.9BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.7BQ2 2025: 1.7BQ3 2025: 1.7BQ4 2025: 1.7BQ1 2026: 1.7BQ2 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-38M shares
1 year-2.6%-45M shares
3 years-11%-210M shares
5 years-14%-276M shares
Available history-15%-288M shares

MFC has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

MFC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.3xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4x
Q3 2023: -1.3xQ4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash

MFC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.1Neutral
Stochastic56.6Neutral

MFC's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MFC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMFCSector medianRelative
PE17x13x30% above
PE %946331 pts above

MFC is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over MFC on valuation relative to its sector.

MFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.70.5% above
20 week MA$43.51% above
50 week MA$39.711% above
100 week MA$35.424% above
200 week MA$29.151% above

MFC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

MFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.1$17.5-13%
2021$17.5$18.7+6.8%
2022$18.7$17.9-4.4%
2023$17.9$22.1+24%
2024$22.1$30.7+39%
2025$30.7$36.6+19%
2026 YTD$36.6$43.9+20%

MFC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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