META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
META has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TWLO
Twilio Inc.
TWLO has the edge over META overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
META Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
TWLO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TWLO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
META PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $624 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $613 | -1.7% |
| Current | 21x | $624 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $803 | +29% |
| Expensive | 32x | $934 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
TWLO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 27x | $212 | — |
| Forward | 32x | $212 | — |
| Cheap | 36x | $287 | +35% |
| Fair | 326x | $2,598 | +1124% |
| Expensive | 920x | $7,334 | +3356% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TWLO has the edge over META in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
META Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TWLO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TWLO, with profitability improving.
META Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $32.16 | +9.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $29.32 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.54 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.50 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.49 | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.58 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.56 | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $25.58 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.86 | +60% |
META earned $29.32 per share over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
TWLO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.60 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.97 | +1944% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.20 | +7100% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.66 | +$0.89 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.21 | +$0.87 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.39 | +$2.96 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.10 | +$3.39 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.23 | +$3.78 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.66 | +$4.88 |
TWLO has the edge over META on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
META Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.6B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.8B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.3B | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.9B | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.2B | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $42.3B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.4B | +21% |
META has the edge over TWLO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | -7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +7.4 points |
META has the edge over TWLO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TWLO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +11% |
TWLO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.6B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.5% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.6% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7% | +5.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2% | +6.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1% | +35 points |
TWLO's operating margin was 9.5% last quarter, up 6.4 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
META Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.2B | -110% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.8B | +9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.2B | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $9B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.6B | +16% |
META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.
TWLO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $389.2M | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $372.4M | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $153.2M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $271.6M | +150% |
| Q3 2025 | $263.6M | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.1M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $191M | +0.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $108.4M | -51% |
TWLO has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
META Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +7M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -68M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -286M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -303M shares |
META has the edge over TWLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2B |
| Q1 2025 | $12.8B |
| Q4 2024 | — |
META hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
TWLO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +2.5M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -20M shares |
| 5 years | -8.7% | -15.5M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +31.7M shares |
TWLO has 162M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago, despite $647M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $70M |
| Q1 2026 | $253M |
| Q4 2025 | $198.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $347.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $197M |
| Q1 2025 | $126.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $420.1M |
TWLO spent $647M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 41% from the year before.
META Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
META's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TWLO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
TWLO has the edge over META on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
META Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
TWLO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.6 | Neutral |
TWLO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
META PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | META | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 16x | 29% above |
| PE % | 18 | 26 | 8 pts below |
META has the edge over TWLO on valuation relative to its sector.
TWLO PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TWLO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 16x | 61% above |
| PE % | 3 | 26 | 23 pts below |
TWLO is trading at 27x earnings, a 61% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
META Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $674.9 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $634.5 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.8 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $647.8 | 3.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $517.5 | 21% above |
META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.
TWLO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $248.2 | 14% below |
| 20 week MA | $232.6 | 8.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $181.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $147.4 | 44% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.1 | 100% above |
TWLO has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
META Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $208.1 | $267.4 | +28% |
| 2021 | $267.4 | $335.2 | +25% |
| 2022 | $335.2 | $118.0 | -65% |
| 2023 | $118.0 | $354.0 | +200% |
| 2024 | $354.0 | $599.8 | +69% |
| 2025 | $599.8 | $663.3 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $663.3 | $623.6 | -6% |
META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.
TWLO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $100.4 | $362.9 | +261% |
| 2021 | $362.9 | $267.2 | -26% |
| 2022 | $267.2 | $44.8 | -83% |
| 2023 | $44.8 | $75.9 | +70% |
| 2024 | $75.9 | $109.3 | +44% |
| 2025 | $109.3 | $140.5 | +29% |
| 2026 YTD | $140.5 | $212.2 | +51% |
TWLO has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.