META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over SMWB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

SMWB

Similarweb Ltd.

60
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMWB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

SMWB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SMWB's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

SMWB PE Valuation

SMWB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMWB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

SMWB has the edge over META on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMWB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMWB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$13.40
Downside-40%$4.79

Calculated from the latest close: $7.96 on Nov 12.

SMWB trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META has the edge over SMWB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMWB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.29
Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.29—
Q2 2026-$0.25+$0.10
Q1 2026-$0.35-$0.13
Q4 2025-$0.39-$0.25
Q3 2025-$0.37-$0.25
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.20
Q1 2025-$0.22+$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.14+$0.24
Q3 2024-$0.12+$0.41

SMWB is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.25 per share over the past year, against $1.23 at its worst in late 2022.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over SMWB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SMWB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $77M
Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $77M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$77.2M+8.8%
Q1 2026$73.9M+10%
Q4 2025$72.8M+11%
Q3 2025$71.8M+11%
Q2 2025$71M+17%
Q1 2025$67.1M+14%
Q4 2024$65.6M+16%
Q3 2024$64.7M+18%

SMWB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $77M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.

SMWB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$71,000Q2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$71,000Q2 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$8.8M+232%
Q1 2026-$71K-102%
Q4 2025$3M+12%
Q3 2025$3M-66%
Q2 2025$2.7M-58%
Q1 2025$4.4M-55%
Q4 2024$2.7M-24%
Q3 2024$8.7M+$13.7M

SMWB still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $15M over the past year.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has the edge over SMWB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMWB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 78MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 88M
Q3 2023: 78MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+619K shares
1 year+4.6%+3.9M shares
3 years+13%+10.3M shares
5 years+18%+13.5M shares
Available history+33%+21.8M shares

SMWB has 88M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SMWB Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -11.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -42.9x
Q2 2024: -11.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -42.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-42.9xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-11.6xNet Cash

SMWB has more cash than debt.

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

SMWB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.9Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

SMWB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

SMWB PE vs Communication Services Sector

SMWB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.

SMWB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.344.6% below
20 week MA$7.940.3% above
50 week MA$5.8237% above
100 week MA$7.673.8% above
200 week MA$7.437.1% above

SMWB has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.

SMWB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$21.3$18.3-14%
2022$18.3$5.30-71%
2023$5.30$5.33+0.6%
2024$5.33$14.4+170%
2025$14.4$7.14-50%
2026 YTD$7.14$7.96+11%

SMWB has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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