META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
META has the edge over SIRI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
SIRI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
META Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
SIRI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
SIRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
META PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $624 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $613 | -1.7% |
| Current | 21x | $624 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $803 | +29% |
| Expensive | 32x | $934 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
META has the edge over SIRI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SIRI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $25.48 | -20% |
| Forward | 10x | $31.74 | — |
| Current | 13x | $31.74 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $42.45 | +34% |
| Expensive | 34x | $83.36 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SIRI's PE is in its fair range at 13x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.
META Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SIRI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SIRI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
META Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $32.16 | +9.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $29.32 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.54 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.50 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.49 | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.58 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.56 | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $25.58 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.86 | +60% |
META has the edge over SIRI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SIRI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.13 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.43 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.49 | +$7.62 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.36 | +$7.26 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.23 | +$7.02 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.45 | +$10.79 |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.13 | -255% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.90 | -248% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.79 | -250% |
SIRI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.43 over the past year, against $4.45 in late 2025.
META Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.6B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.8B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.3B | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.9B | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.2B | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $42.3B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.4B | +21% |
META has the edge over SIRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | -7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +7.4 points |
META's operating margin was 20% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
SIRI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.1B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2B | +0.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | -0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.1B | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1B | -4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.2B | -4.4% |
SIRI's revenue has held roughly level: $2.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 22% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +157 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -6.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | +1.6 points |
SIRI has the edge over META on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
META Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.2B | -110% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.8B | +9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.2B | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $9B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.6B | +16% |
META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.
SIRI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $291M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $592M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $166M | +213% |
| Q4 2025 | $536M | +4.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $255M | +963% |
| Q2 2025 | $401M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $53M | -60% |
| Q4 2024 | $514M | +17% |
SIRI has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
META Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +7M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -68M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -286M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -303M shares |
META has the edge over SIRI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2B |
| Q1 2025 | $12.8B |
| Q4 2024 | — |
META hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SIRI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +6.1% | +21M shares |
| 1 year | +2% | +7M shares |
| 3 years | -6.1% | -23.5M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -48.9M shares |
| Available history | -21% | -98.6M shares |
SIRI has 363M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33M |
| Q2 2026 | $6M |
| Q1 2026 | $22M |
| Q4 2025 | $45M |
| Q3 2025 | $21M |
| Q2 2025 | $45M |
| Q1 2025 | $25M |
| Q4 2024 | $6M |
SIRI spent $106M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 9.3% from the year before.
META Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
META has the edge over SIRI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SIRI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q4 2023 | 3.8x | Elevated |
SIRI's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.6 years a year ago.
META Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
SIRI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.1 | Neutral |
SIRI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
META PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | META | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 16x | 29% above |
| PE % | 18 | 26 | 8 pts below |
META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
SIRI PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | SIRI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 16x | 21% below |
| PE % | 33 | 26 | 7 pts above |
SIRI has the edge over META on valuation relative to its sector.
META Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $674.9 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $634.5 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.8 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $647.8 | 3.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $517.5 | 21% above |
META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.
SIRI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $28.2 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $28.9 | 9.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $25.8 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $24.2 | 31% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.7 | 0.1% above |
SIRI has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
META Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $208.1 | $267.4 | +28% |
| 2021 | $267.4 | $335.2 | +25% |
| 2022 | $335.2 | $118.0 | -65% |
| 2023 | $118.0 | $354.0 | +200% |
| 2024 | $354.0 | $599.8 | +69% |
| 2025 | $599.8 | $663.3 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $663.3 | $623.6 | -6% |
META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.
SIRI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $71.4 | $63.1 | -12% |
| 2021 | $63.1 | $64.3 | +1.9% |
| 2022 | $64.3 | $58.4 | -9.2% |
| 2023 | $58.4 | $54.7 | -6.3% |
| 2024 | $54.7 | $23.1 | -58% |
| 2025 | $23.1 | $20.6 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.6 | $31.7 | +54% |
SIRI has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.