META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over PANW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

PANW

Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

50
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential63/ 100

PANW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PANW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Strong

PANW's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META has the edge over PANW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PANW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE677x1355x2032x2710x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap48x$19.37-94%
Forward74x$323—
Fair117x$46.90-85%
Expensive344x$138-57%
Current807x$323—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PANW's PE is in its expensive range at 807x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 74x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PANW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PANW, but weaker profitability.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PANW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PANW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$355.48
Downside-63%$118.65

Calculated from the latest close: $322.66 on Nov 12.

PANW trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META has the edge over PANW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PANW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $3.21Q2 2024: $3.45Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $3.85Q1 2025: $1.79Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.57Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $0.40Forward: $4.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.34+985%
Q3 2026$0.40-75%
Q2 2026$1.21-32%
Q1 2026$1.80+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.57-59%
Q3 2025$1.60-56%
Q2 2025$1.77-49%
Q1 2025$1.79-44%
Q4 2024$3.85+333%

PANW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.40 over the past year, against $3.85 in late 2024.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over PANW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PANW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+34%
Q2 2026$3B+31%
Q1 2026$2.6B+15%
Q4 2025$2.5B+16%
Q3 2025$2.5B+16%
Q2 2025$2.3B+15%
Q1 2025$2.3B+14%
Q4 2024$2.1B+14%

PANW's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.4B last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.

PANW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $492MQ3 2024: $465MQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $560MQ3 2025: $935MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $384MQ2 2026: $788MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+34%
Q2 2026$788M+41%
Q1 2026$384M-25%
Q4 2025$1.7B+15%
Q3 2025$934.5M+101%
Q2 2025$560.4M+14%
Q1 2025$509.4M-22%
Q4 2024$1.5B-1.6%

PANW has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has the edge over PANW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PANW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
Q4 2023: 700MQ1 2024: 715MQ2 2024: 709MQ3 2024: 708MQ4 2024: 709MQ1 2025: 709MQ2 2025: 707MQ3 2025: 709MQ4 2025: 709MQ1 2026: 711MQ2 2026: 801MQ3 2026: 764M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.6%-37M shares
1 year+7.7%+54.7M shares
3 years+12%+79.4M shares
5 years+32%+186M shares
Available history+32%+184M shares

PANW has 764M diluted shares, up 7.7% from a year ago.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PANW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

PANW has the edge over META on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

PANW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.6Neutral
Stochastic18.8Oversold

PANW's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META has the edge over PANW on valuation relative to its sector.

PANW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPANWSector medianRelative
PE807x28x2,795% above
PE %893554 pts above

PANW is trading at 807x earnings, a 2795% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.

PANW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$365.212% below
20 week MA$355.89.3% below
50 week MA$260.924% above
100 week MA$225.643% above
200 week MA$182.377% above

PANW has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.

PANW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.9$61.2+57%
2021$61.2$93.6+53%
2022$93.6$70.6-25%
2023$70.6$147.4+109%
2024$147.4$186.2+26%
2025$186.2$188.5+1.2%
2026 YTD$188.5$322.7+71%

PANW has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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