META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over MSGK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MSGK

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MSGK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MSGK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

MSGK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

MSGK PE Valuation

MSGK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSGK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MSGK's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSGK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSGK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$371.70
Downside-15%$267.23

Calculated from the latest close: $314.92 on Nov 12.

MSGK trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META has the edge over MSGK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.73Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.24
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $0.73Q2 2024: $1.84Q3 2024: $2.20Q4 2024: $1.79Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.53Q1 2026: $-0.71Q2 2026: $0.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.24+$0.94
Q1 2026-$0.71-518%
Q4 2025-$0.53-130%
Q3 2025-$0.75-134%
Q2 2025-$0.70-138%
Q1 2025$0.17-77%
Q4 2024$1.79+50%
Q3 2024$2.20+59%

MSGK has returned to profit: it earned $0.24 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over MSGK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSGK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $432MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $430MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $358MQ1 2025: $424MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $432MQ2 2026: $279MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$45.5M+15%
Q2 2026$278.7M+37%
Q1 2026$432.2M+1.9%
Q4 2025$403.4M+13%
Q3 2025$39.5M-26%
Q2 2025$204M-10%
Q1 2025$424.2M-1.3%
Q4 2024$357.8M+9.4%

MSGK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $45M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META has the edge over MSGK on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSGK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: −$147M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $58MQ3 2026: −$147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$146.9M-$61.6M
Q2 2026$57.6M+17%
Q1 2026$57.4M+1369%
Q4 2025$31.6M-48%
Q3 2025-$85.3M-$58.8M
Q2 2025$49.4M-54%
Q1 2025$3.9M-0.9%
Q4 2024$61.2M+84%

MSGK's free cash flow was −$353,000 over the past year, against $29M the year before.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has the edge over MSGK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSGK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+113K shares
1 year+0.7%+216K shares
3 years+0.2%+77K shares
5 years+0.5%+163K shares
Available history-28%-12.4M shares

MSGK has 32M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META has the edge over MSGK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSGK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 27.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 7.6x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ4 2025: 27.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.6xHigh
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q4 202527.0xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20241.4xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy
Q2 20241.5xHealthy

MSGK's net debt is about 7.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

MSGK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.2Neutral
Stochastic64.3Neutral

MSGK's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META has the edge over MSGK on valuation relative to its sector.

MSGK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMSGKSector medianRelative
PE1,299x16x7,775% above
PE %1002674 pts above

MSGK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.

MSGK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$305.33.1% above
20 week MA$300.64.8% above
50 week MA$262.320% above
100 week MA$208.751% above
200 week MA$176.379% above

MSGK has the edge over META on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.

MSGK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$110.7$133.5+21%
2021$133.5$131.1-1.8%
2022$131.1$136.7+4.3%
2023$136.7$136.9+0.2%
2024$136.9$166.5+22%
2025$166.5$195.9+18%
2026 YTD$195.9$314.9+61%

MSGK has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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