META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
META offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSGE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.
MSGE has the edge over META overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
META Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
MSGE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
MSGE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
META PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $624 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $613 | -1.7% |
| Current | 21x | $624 | — |
| Fair | 27x | $803 | +29% |
| Expensive | 32x | $934 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
META has the edge over MSGE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSGE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $26.77 | -66% |
| Forward | 33x | $78.80 | — |
| Current | 39x | $78.80 | — |
| Fair | 52x | $105 | +33% |
| Expensive | 69x | $139 | +77% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSGE's PE is in its fair range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.
META Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSGE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MSGE has the edge over META on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
META Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $32.16 | +9.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $29.32 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $26.54 | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.50 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.49 | -1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.58 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $27.56 | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $25.58 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $23.86 | +60% |
META has the edge over MSGE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSGE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.03 | +186% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.38 | +79% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.03 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | -57% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.71 | -80% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.77 | -74% |
| Q3 2021 | -$15.88 | -$15.48 |
| Q2 2021 | -$17.02 | -1873% |
MSGE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.03 over the past year, against $3.57 in late 2024.
META Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $64.6B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.8B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $56.3B | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.9B | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.2B | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $47.5B | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $42.3B | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.4B | +21% |
META has the edge over MSGE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | -12 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | -7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | +3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 48% | +7.4 points |
META has the edge over MSGE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MSGE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $217.1M | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $271.1M | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $246.3M | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $459.9M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $158.3M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $154.1M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $242.5M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $407.4M | +1.2% |
MSGE's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $217M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5% | +23 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.2% | +14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 36% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -19% | -5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -17% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | 0 points |
MSGE's operating margin was 4.5% last quarter, up 23 points from the same quarter a year ago.
META Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.2B | -110% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | -81% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.8B | +9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.2B | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $9B | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1B | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.6B | +16% |
META usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $28.6B over the past year.
MSGE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$26.2M | -232% |
| Q2 2026 | -$16.6M | +$10.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $183.9M | +224% |
| Q4 2025 | $164.4M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.8M | +$47.2M |
| Q2 2025 | -$27M | -12841% |
| Q1 2025 | $56.8M | +876% |
| Q4 2024 | $112.9M | +8.7% |
MSGE has the edge over META on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
META Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +7M shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.6% | -68M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -286M shares |
| Available history | -11% | -303M shares |
META has the edge over MSGE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2B |
| Q1 2025 | $12.8B |
| Q4 2024 | — |
META hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MSGE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -3K shares |
| 1 year | +1.1% | +517K shares |
| 3 years | -4.8% | -2.4M shares |
| 5 years | +99% | +23.9M shares |
| Available history | +100% | +24M shares |
MSGE has 48M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $25M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $14.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $25M |
MSGE spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 61% from the year before.
META Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
META has the edge over MSGE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSGE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
MSGE's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.
META Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.7 | Neutral |
META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
MSGE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.7 | Neutral |
MSGE's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
META PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | META | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 16x | 29% above |
| PE % | 18 | 26 | 8 pts below |
META has the edge over MSGE on valuation relative to its sector.
MSGE PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | MSGE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 16x | 135% above |
| PE % | 45 | 25 | 20 pts above |
MSGE is trading at 39x earnings, a 135% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
META Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $674.9 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $634.5 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.8 | 1.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $647.8 | 3.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $517.5 | 21% above |
MSGE has stronger trend alignment. META is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus MSGE above 3 of 4.
MSGE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $79.0 | 0.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $78.4 | 0.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $68.8 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $53.6 | 47% above |
MSGE's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 47% above its 100-week average.
META Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $208.1 | $267.4 | +28% |
| 2021 | $267.4 | $335.2 | +25% |
| 2022 | $335.2 | $118.0 | -65% |
| 2023 | $118.0 | $354.0 | +200% |
| 2024 | $354.0 | $599.8 | +69% |
| 2025 | $599.8 | $663.3 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $663.3 | $623.6 | -6% |
META's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's down 6% so far in 2026.
MSGE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $59.0 | $31.8 | -46% |
| 2024 | $31.8 | $33.3 | +4.6% |
| 2025 | $33.3 | $54.0 | +62% |
| 2026 YTD | $54.0 | $78.8 | +46% |
MSGE has the edge over META on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.