MEDP

Medpace Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MEDP's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 20% and it turned 24% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 36x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 34x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MEDP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MEDP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MEDP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$493-25%
Fair34x$611-7%
Forward34x$657—
Current36x$657—
Expensive42x$748+14%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MEDP's PE is in its fair range at 36x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

MEDP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MEDP, with profitability improving.

MEDP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$840.55
Downside-18%$536.30

Calculated from the latest close: $656.84 on Nov 12.

MEDP's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +28% against −18%.

MEDP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.88Q1 2024: $9.81Q2 2024: $10.63Q3 2024: $11.42Q4 2024: $12.63Q1 2025: $13.10Q2 2025: $13.45Q3 2025: $14.30Q4 2025: $15.28Q1 2026: $15.89Q2 2026: $17.04Q3 2026: $18.02Forward: $19.28
Q4 2023: $8.88Q1 2024: $9.81Q2 2024: $10.63Q3 2024: $11.42Q4 2024: $12.63Q1 2025: $13.10Q2 2025: $13.45Q3 2025: $14.30Q4 2025: $15.28Q1 2026: $15.89Q2 2026: $17.04Q3 2026: $18.02Forward: $19.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.28+7%
Q3 2026$18.02+26%
Q2 2026$17.04+27%
Q1 2026$15.89+21%
Q4 2025$15.28+21%
Q3 2025$14.30+25%
Q2 2025$13.45+27%
Q1 2025$13.10+34%
Q4 2024$12.63+42%

MEDP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $18.02 over the past year, up 26% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

MEDP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $498MQ1 2024: $511MQ2 2024: $528MQ3 2024: $533MQ4 2024: $537MQ1 2025: $559MQ2 2025: $603MQ3 2025: $660MQ4 2025: $708MQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $707MQ3 2026: $716M
Q4 2023: $498MQ1 2024: $511MQ2 2024: $528MQ3 2024: $533MQ4 2024: $537MQ1 2025: $559MQ2 2025: $603MQ3 2025: $660MQ4 2025: $708MQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $707MQ3 2026: $716M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$716M+8.5%
Q2 2026$707.3M+17%
Q1 2026$706.6M+27%
Q4 2025$708.5M+32%
Q3 2025$659.9M+24%
Q2 2025$603.3M+14%
Q1 2025$558.6M+9.3%
Q4 2024$536.6M+7.7%

MEDP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $716M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MEDP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $147MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $142MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $188MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $196M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $147MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: $139MQ4 2024: $183MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $142MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $188MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $196M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$196.4M-17%
Q2 2026$138.1M-3%
Q1 2026$145M+25%
Q4 2025$188.1M+2.8%
Q3 2025$235.5M+70%
Q2 2025$142.4M+38%
Q1 2025$115.8M-21%
Q4 2024$183M+25%

MEDP's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $668M over the past year, down 1.4% from the year before.

MEDP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-182K shares
1 year-1.5%-445K shares
3 years-11%-3.4M shares
5 years-24%-9.1M shares
Available history-24%-9.2M shares

MEDP has 28M diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago, with $295M in buybacks over the past year.

MEDP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

MEDP has more cash than debt.

MEDP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.0Neutral
Stochastic68.8Neutral

MEDP's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

MEDP PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMEDPSector medianRelative
PE36x26x41% above
PE %652936 pts above

MEDP is trading at 36x earnings, a 41% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

MEDP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$635.03.4% above
20 week MA$603.78.8% above
50 week MA$538.622% above
100 week MA$466.341% above
200 week MA$384.271% above

MEDP is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 71% above its 200-week average.

MEDP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$83.7$139.1+66%
2021$139.1$223.4+61%
2022$223.4$212.7-4.8%
2023$212.7$306.5+44%
2024$306.5$341.1+11%
2025$341.1$567.6+66%
2026 YTD$567.6$656.8+16%

MEDP has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 16% so far in 2026.

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