MDXG

MiMedx Group, Inc.

33
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MDXG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over MDXG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MDXG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Stable
Strong

MDXG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are weak.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MDXG PE Valuation

MDXG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MDXG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MDXG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MDXG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$4.15
Downside-22%$2.54

Calculated from the latest close: $3.24 on Nov 12.

MDXG trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDXG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDXG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $-0.13Forward: $0.07
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.49Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.60Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.04Q3 2026: $-0.13Forward: $0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.07—
Q3 2026-$0.13-148%
Q2 2026$0.04-81%
Q1 2026$0.20-26%
Q4 2025$0.32+14%
Q3 2025$0.27-55%
Q2 2025$0.21-66%
Q1 2025$0.27-45%
Q4 2024$0.28-24%

MDXG has swung to a loss: it lost $0.13 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over MDXG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MDXG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $85MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $88MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $114MQ4 2025: $118MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $62M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$62.3M-45%
Q2 2026$64.4M-35%
Q1 2026$59M-33%
Q4 2025$118.1M+27%
Q3 2025$113.7M+35%
Q2 2025$98.6M+13%
Q1 2025$88.2M+4.1%
Q4 2024$92.9M+7%

MDXG's revenue is shrinking: $62M last quarter, down 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over MDXG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDXG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9M-87%
Q2 2026-$10M-169%
Q1 2026$1.9M-65%
Q4 2025$25M+33%
Q3 2025$29.3M+49%
Q2 2025$14.4M-34%
Q1 2025$5.3M-11%
Q4 2024$18.8M+91%

MDXG generated $21M in free cash flow over the past year, down 69% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over MDXG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDXG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 149MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 149MQ1 2025: 150MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 148MQ3 2026: 146M
Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 149MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 149MQ1 2025: 150MQ2 2025: 149MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 150MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 148MQ3 2026: 146M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.6%-3.8M shares
3 years+22%+26.5M shares
5 years+32%+35.1M shares
Available history+36%+38.9M shares

MDXG has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MDXG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -10.1x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.4xQ2 2026: -10.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-10.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.9xNet Cash

MDXG has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MDXG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.1Oversold
Stochastic15.2Oversold

MDXG's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

MDXG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMDXGSector medianRelative
PE98x26x278% above
PE %922963 pts above

MDXG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over MDXG on valuation relative to its sector.

MDXG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.0921% below
20 week MA$4.2424% below
50 week MA$4.5228% below
100 week MA$5.9245% below
200 week MA$6.3149% below

MDXG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over MDXG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MDXG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.25$9.40+30%
2021$9.40$6.49-31%
2022$6.49$2.77-57%
2023$2.77$8.77+217%
2024$8.77$9.42+7.4%
2025$9.42$6.90-27%
2026 YTD$6.90$3.24-53%

MDXG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +217% in 2023 to −57% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over MDXG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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