MDLN

Medline Inc.

59
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

MDLN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over MDLN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

MDLN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

MDLN's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

MDLN PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap33x$22.09-45%
Fair40x$27.00-32%
Expensive42x$28.23-29%
Current60x$39.98—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDLN has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MDLN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MDLN to show an outlook.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MDLN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$56.50
Downside-28%$28.72

Calculated from the latest close: $39.98 on Nov 12.

MDLN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDLN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDLN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $1.45Q1 2026: $1.21Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.67
Q4 2025: $1.45Q1 2026: $1.21Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.67

MDLN and UNH do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

MDLN Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: --Q1 2025: $6.6BQ2 2025: $6.9BQ3 2025: $7.1BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $7.4BQ2 2026: $7.7BQ3 2026: $7.9B
Q2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: --Q1 2025: $6.6BQ2 2025: $6.9BQ3 2025: $7.1BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $7.4BQ2 2026: $7.7BQ3 2026: $7.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.9B+10%
Q2 2026$7.7B+12%
Q1 2026$7.4B+11%
Q3 2025$7.1B+11%
Q2 2025$6.9B+11%

MDLN has the edge over UNH in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MDLN Free Cash Flow

Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $615MQ1 2025: --Q1 2025: $535MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $535MQ4 2025: $571MQ1 2026: $316MQ2 2026: $604MQ3 2026: $884M
Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $615MQ1 2025: --Q1 2025: $535MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $535MQ4 2025: $571MQ1 2026: $316MQ2 2026: $604MQ3 2026: $884M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$884M+65%
Q2 2026$604M+486%
Q1 2026$316M-41%
Q3 2025$535M-13%

MDLN has the edge over UNH in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

MDLN Total Shares

Q2 2024: 787MQ3 2024: 787MQ1 2025: 800MQ2 2025: 787MQ3 2025: 787MQ4 2025: 812MQ1 2026: 825MQ2 2026: 861MQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q2 2024: 787MQ3 2024: 787MQ1 2025: 800MQ2 2025: 787MQ3 2025: 787MQ4 2025: 812MQ1 2026: 825MQ2 2026: 861MQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+53%+455M shares
1 year+67%+529M shares

MDLN has 1.3B diluted shares, up 67% from a year ago, despite $2B in buybacks over the past year.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over MDLN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MDLN Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20263.7xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated

MDLN's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over MDLN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MDLN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.9Neutral
Stochastic53.6Neutral

MDLN's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

MDLN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMDLNSector medianRelative
PE60x26x131% above

MDLN is trading at 60x earnings, a 131% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over MDLN on valuation relative to its sector.

MDLN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.111% above
20 week MA$36.69.3% above

MDLN has stronger trend alignment. MDLN is above 2 of 2 weekly averages versus UNH above 4 of 5.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

MDLN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$41.7$44.1+6%
2026 YTD$44.1$40.0-9.4%

MDLN has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 9.4% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over MDLN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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