MDB

MongoDB, Inc.

70
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

MDB's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MDB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MDB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

MDB's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MDB PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward46x$340—
Cheap477x$339-0.2%
Current479x$340—
Fair510x$362+6.5%
Expensive541x$384+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDB's PE is 479x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over MDB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MDB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Broad
High

MDB has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MDB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+58%$538.15
Downside-35%$221.32

Calculated from the latest close: $339.78 on Nov 12.

MDB trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MDB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.63Q1 2024: $-2.48Q2 2024: $-2.81Q3 2024: $-3.02Q4 2024: $-2.74Q1 2025: $-1.73Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-0.93Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.88Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $0.71Forward: $7.42
Q4 2023: $-2.63Q1 2024: $-2.48Q2 2024: $-2.81Q3 2024: $-3.02Q4 2024: $-2.74Q1 2025: $-1.73Q2 2025: $-1.09Q3 2025: $-0.93Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.88Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $0.71Forward: $7.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.42+945%
Q3 2026$0.71+$1.64
Q2 2026-$0.37+$0.72
Q1 2026-$0.88+$0.85
Q4 2025-$0.82+$1.92
Q3 2025-$0.93+$2.09
Q2 2025-$1.09+$1.72
Q1 2025-$1.73+$0.75
Q4 2024-$2.74-$0.11

MDB has returned to profit: it earned $0.71 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MDB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $433MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $451MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $529MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $591MQ4 2025: $628MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $772M
Q4 2023: $433MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $451MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $529MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $549MQ3 2025: $591MQ4 2025: $628MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $772M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$771.8M+30%
Q2 2026$687.6M+25%
Q1 2026$695.1M+27%
Q4 2025$628.3M+19%
Q3 2025$591.4M+24%
Q2 2025$549M+22%
Q1 2025$548.4M+20%
Q4 2024$529.4M+22%

MDB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $772M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MDB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MDB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $178MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $139M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: $35MQ1 2025: $25MQ2 2025: $108MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $178MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $139M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$139.4M+95%
Q2 2026$199.3M+84%
Q1 2026$178.5M+627%
Q4 2025$141.8M+300%
Q3 2025$71.6M+$74M
Q2 2025$108.3M+72%
Q1 2025$24.6M-53%
Q4 2024$35.5M-2.4%

MDB generated $659M in free cash flow over the past year, up 175% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MDB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 73MQ3 2024: 74MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 75MQ2 2025: 81MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+414K shares
1 year+1.1%+917K shares
3 years+16%+11.1M shares
5 years+29%+18.6M shares
Available history+45%+25.6M shares

MDB has 82M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago, despite $406M in buybacks over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MDB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MDB Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -119.6x
Q3 2026: -119.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-119.6xNet Cash

MDB has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MDB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

MDB's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MDB PE vs Technology Sector

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MDB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$358.65.2% below
20 week MA$368.27.7% below
50 week MA$346.51.9% below
100 week MA$297.114% above
200 week MA$308.910% above

MDB has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

MDB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$134.1$378.5+182%
2021$378.5$551.1+46%
2022$551.1$197.5-64%
2023$197.5$408.9+107%
2024$408.9$238.4-42%
2025$238.4$435.9+83%
2026 YTD$435.9$339.8-22%

MDB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +182% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over MDB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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