MDB
MongoDB, Inc.
MDB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over MDB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
MDB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MDB's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MDB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 46x | $340 | — |
| Cheap | 477x | $339 | -0.2% |
| Current | 479x | $340 | — |
| Fair | 510x | $362 | +6.5% |
| Expensive | 541x | $384 | +13% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MDB has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
MDB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Broad | |
| High |
MDB has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
MDB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.42 | +945% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.71 | +$1.64 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.37 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.88 | +$0.85 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.82 | +$1.92 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.93 | +$2.09 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.09 | +$1.72 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.73 | +$0.75 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.74 | -$0.11 |
MDB has returned to profit: it earned $0.71 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over MDB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MDB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $771.8M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $687.6M | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $695.1M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $628.3M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $591.4M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $549M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $548.4M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $529.4M | +22% |
MDB has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.6% | +6.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.9% | +2.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | -9.8% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3.4% | +12 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.3% | +5.2 points |
MDB's operating margin was 3.7% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over MDB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MDB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $139.4M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $199.3M | +84% |
| Q1 2026 | $178.5M | +627% |
| Q4 2025 | $141.8M | +300% |
| Q3 2025 | $71.6M | +$74M |
| Q2 2025 | $108.3M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $24.6M | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.5M | -2.4% |
MDB has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
MDB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +414K shares |
| 1 year | +1.1% | +917K shares |
| 3 years | +16% | +11.1M shares |
| 5 years | +29% | +18.6M shares |
| Available history | +45% | +25.6M shares |
MDB has 82M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago, despite $406M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100M |
| Q2 2026 | $100.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $57.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $148.6M |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
MDB spent $406M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over MDB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
MDB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -119.6x | Net Cash |
MDB has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MDB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.0 | Neutral |
MDB's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
MDB PE vs Technology Sector
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MDB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $358.6 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $368.2 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $346.5 | 1.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $297.1 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $308.9 | 10% above |
MDB has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 10% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over MDB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MDB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $134.1 | $378.5 | +182% |
| 2021 | $378.5 | $551.1 | +46% |
| 2022 | $551.1 | $197.5 | -64% |
| 2023 | $197.5 | $408.9 | +107% |
| 2024 | $408.9 | $238.4 | -42% |
| 2025 | $238.4 | $435.9 | +83% |
| 2026 YTD | $435.9 | $339.8 | -22% |
MDB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +182% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 22% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over MDB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.