MDA

MDA Space Ltd

50
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

MDA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over MDA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Strong

MDA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$29.16—
Cheap49x$27.91-4.3%
Fair51x$28.95-0.7%
Current51x$29.16—
Expensive57x$32.29+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDA has the edge over SNDK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK's PE is 7.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MDA, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

SNDK has the edge over MDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$45.89
Downside-36%$18.75

Calculated from the latest close: $29.16 on Nov 12.

MDA trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.05
Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.05+84%
Q2 2026$0.57-14%
Q1 2026$0.59+3.5%
Q4 2025$0.61+30%
Q3 2025$0.61+49%
Q2 2025$0.66+128%
Q1 2025$0.57+104%
Q4 2024$0.47+57%
Q3 2024$0.41+52%

MDA earned $0.57 per share over the past year, down 14% from the year before.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over MDA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MDA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$351M+28%
Q1 2026$333.7M+37%
Q4 2025$363.4M+51%
Q3 2025$294.2M+41%
Q2 2025$274.2M+55%
Q1 2025$243.9M+58%
Q4 2024$240.9M+56%
Q3 2024$208.7M+39%

MDA has the edge over SNDK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $11B last quarter, up 378% from the same quarter a year ago.

MDA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$102.4M-2464%
Q1 2026-$4.5M-102%
Q4 2025$11.7M-95%
Q3 2025-$12.2M-107%
Q2 2025$4.3M-95%
Q1 2025$205.3M+$207M
Q4 2024$230.2M+$297M
Q3 2024$164.1M+$213.5M

MDA's free cash flow was −$107M over the past year, against $604M the year before.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over MDA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MDA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+9.8M shares
1 year+11%+14.5M shares
3 years+19%+22.3M shares
5 years+20%+23.8M shares

MDA has 143M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has the edge over MDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MDA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20241.7xHealthy

MDA has more cash than debt.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has the edge over MDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

MDA's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMDASector medianRelative
PE51x28x84% above
PE %581840 pts above

MDA is trading at 51x earnings, a 84% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK has the edge over MDA on valuation relative to its sector.

MDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.81.4% above
20 week MA$30.74.9% below

MDA has stronger trend alignment. MDA is above 1 of 2 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

MDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$29.1$29.2+0.1%

It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over MDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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