MDA

MDA Space Ltd

50
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

MDA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MDA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

MDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Strong

MDA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$29.16—
Cheap49x$27.91-4.3%
Fair51x$28.95-0.7%
Current51x$29.16—
Expensive57x$32.29+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDA's PE is 51x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over MDA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MDA, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$45.89
Downside-36%$18.75

Calculated from the latest close: $29.16 on Nov 12.

MDA trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MDA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.06
Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+85%
Q2 2026$0.57-14%
Q1 2026$0.59+3.5%
Q4 2025$0.61+30%
Q3 2025$0.61+49%
Q2 2025$0.66+128%
Q1 2025$0.57+104%
Q4 2024$0.47+57%
Q3 2024$0.41+52%

MDA earned $0.57 per share over the past year, down 14% from the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MDA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MDA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$351M+28%
Q1 2026$333.7M+37%
Q4 2025$363.4M+51%
Q3 2025$294.2M+41%
Q2 2025$274.2M+55%
Q1 2025$243.9M+58%
Q4 2024$240.9M+56%
Q3 2024$208.7M+39%

MDA's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $351M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MDA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MDA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$102.4M-2464%
Q1 2026-$4.5M-102%
Q4 2025$11.7M-95%
Q3 2025-$12.2M-107%
Q2 2025$4.3M-95%
Q1 2025$205.3M+$207M
Q4 2024$230.2M+$297M
Q3 2024$164.1M+$213.5M

MDA's free cash flow was −$107M over the past year, against $604M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MDA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MDA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+9.8M shares
1 year+11%+14.5M shares
3 years+19%+22.3M shares
5 years+20%+23.8M shares

MDA has 143M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MDA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20241.7xHealthy

MDA has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

MDA's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMDASector medianRelative
PE51x28x84% above
PE %581840 pts above

MDA is trading at 51x earnings, a 84% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over MDA on valuation relative to its sector.

MDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.81.4% above
20 week MA$30.74.9% below

MDA has stronger trend alignment. MDA is above 1 of 2 weekly averages versus NVDA above 1 of 5.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

MDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$29.1$29.2+0.1%

MDA has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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