MDA

MDA Space Ltd

50
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

MDA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over MDA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Strong

MDA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x72x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$29.16—
Cheap49x$27.91-4.3%
Fair51x$28.95-0.7%
Current51x$29.16—
Expensive57x$32.29+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MDA has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

MDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MDA, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over MDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$45.89
Downside-36%$18.75

Calculated from the latest close: $29.16 on Nov 12.

MDA trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MDA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MDA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.06
Q3 2023: $0.27Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.28Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.47Q1 2025: $0.57Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $0.61Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.59Q2 2026: $0.57Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+85%
Q2 2026$0.57-14%
Q1 2026$0.59+3.5%
Q4 2025$0.61+30%
Q3 2025$0.61+49%
Q2 2025$0.66+128%
Q1 2025$0.57+104%
Q4 2024$0.47+57%
Q3 2024$0.41+52%

MDA earned $0.57 per share over the past year, down 14% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

MDA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
Q3 2023: $151MQ4 2023: $155MQ1 2024: $154MQ2 2024: $177MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $241MQ1 2025: $244MQ2 2025: $274MQ3 2025: $294MQ4 2025: $363MQ1 2026: $334MQ2 2026: $351M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$351M+28%
Q1 2026$333.7M+37%
Q4 2025$363.4M+51%
Q3 2025$294.2M+41%
Q2 2025$274.2M+55%
Q1 2025$243.9M+58%
Q4 2024$240.9M+56%
Q3 2024$208.7M+39%

MDA has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

MDA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
Q3 2023: −$49MQ4 2023: −$67MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$102M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$102.4M-2464%
Q1 2026-$4.5M-102%
Q4 2025$11.7M-95%
Q3 2025-$12.2M-107%
Q2 2025$4.3M-95%
Q1 2025$205.3M+$207M
Q4 2024$230.2M+$297M
Q3 2024$164.1M+$213.5M

MDA's free cash flow was −$107M over the past year, against $604M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over MDA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MDA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 122MQ4 2023: 123MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 124MQ3 2024: 124MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 133MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+9.8M shares
1 year+11%+14.5M shares
3 years+19%+22.3M shares
5 years+20%+23.8M shares

MDA has 143M diluted shares, up 11% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over MDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MDA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: 2.4xQ4 2023: 4.3xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 20241.7xHealthy

MDA has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

MDA's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMDASector medianRelative
PE51x28x84% above
PE %581840 pts above

MDA is trading at 51x earnings, a 84% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over MDA on valuation relative to its sector.

MDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.81.4% above
20 week MA$30.74.9% below

MSFT has stronger trend alignment. MDA is above 1 of 2 weekly averages versus MSFT above 4 of 5.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

MDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$29.1$29.2+0.1%

It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over MDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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