MD
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.
MD has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
MD's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
MD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $19.61 | -38% |
| Fair | 13x | $23.57 | -25% |
| Forward | 13x | $31.40 | — |
| Current | 17x | $31.40 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $34.33 | +9.3% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MD's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO has the edge over MD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.45 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.84 | -3.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.09 | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +$3.06 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.94 | +$3.13 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.91 | +$4.97 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.30 | +$4.33 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.00 | -$0.15 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.19 | -$0.46 |
MD earned $1.84 per share over the past year, down 3.7% from the year before.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO has the edge over MD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $501.4M | +1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $487.8M | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $476.2M | +3.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $493.8M | -1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $492.9M | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $468.8M | -7% |
| Q1 2025 | $458.4M | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $502.4M | +1.2% |
MD's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $501M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.8% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.9% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +44 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.8% | +30 points |
MD's operating margin was 13% last quarter, down 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO has the edge over MD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO has the edge over MD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.9M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $123.9M | -6.6% |
| Q1 2026 | -$136.1M | -$15.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $131.9M | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $132.7M | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | -$120.8M | +$9.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $129.6M | +115% |
MD still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $210M over the past year.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO has the edge over MD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.1% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -5.9M shares |
| 3 years | -3.9% | -3.2M shares |
| 5 years | -7.4% | -6.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.3% | -3.6M shares |
MD has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83M |
| Q2 2026 | $42.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $21.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $64M |
| Q3 2025 | $20.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $209,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $643,000 |
MD spent $211M buying back its own shares over the past year, about nine times what it spent the year before.
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
MD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 12.9x | High |
MD's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO has the edge over MD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 77.7 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 80.5 | Overbought |
MD's weekly RSI is 78 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
MD PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | MD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 26x | 34% below |
| PE % | 72 | 29 | 43 pts above |
MD is trading at 17x earnings, a 34% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO has the edge over MD on valuation relative to its sector.
MD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $28.5 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $27.3 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $24.0 | 31% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.6 | 60% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.6 | 101% above |
MD has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.
MD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.2 | $23.9 | -12% |
| 2021 | $23.9 | $27.6 | +15% |
| 2022 | $27.6 | $14.9 | -46% |
| 2023 | $14.9 | $9.30 | -38% |
| 2024 | $9.30 | $13.5 | +45% |
| 2025 | $13.5 | $21.9 | +62% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.9 | $31.4 | +44% |
MD has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.