MCRI

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

70
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MCRI has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MCRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

MCRI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MCRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x62x83x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x62x83x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$99.43-10%
Forward16x$111—
Current18x$111—
Fair19x$122+10%
Expensive28x$176+58%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCRI's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MCRI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over MCRI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MCRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$134.76
Downside-11%$98.90

Calculated from the latest close: $110.82 on Nov 12.

MCRI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails MCRI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MCRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.20Q1 2024: $4.23Q2 2024: $4.28Q3 2024: $4.52Q4 2024: $3.84Q1 2025: $3.96Q2 2025: $4.21Q3 2025: $4.43Q4 2025: $5.43Q1 2026: $5.90Q2 2026: $6.24Q3 2026: $6.31Forward: $6.99
Q4 2023: $4.20Q1 2024: $4.23Q2 2024: $4.28Q3 2024: $4.52Q4 2024: $3.84Q1 2025: $3.96Q2 2025: $4.21Q3 2025: $4.43Q4 2025: $5.43Q1 2026: $5.90Q2 2026: $6.24Q3 2026: $6.31Forward: $6.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.99+11%
Q3 2026$6.31+42%
Q2 2026$6.24+48%
Q1 2026$5.90+49%
Q4 2025$5.43+41%
Q3 2025$4.43-2%
Q2 2025$4.21-1.6%
Q1 2025$3.96-6.4%
Q4 2024$3.84-8.6%

MCRI has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

MCRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $137MQ3 2025: $143MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $146M
Q4 2023: $128MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $138MQ4 2024: $135MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $137MQ3 2025: $143MQ4 2025: $140MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $143MQ3 2026: $146M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$146.3M+2.4%
Q2 2026$142.6M+4.2%
Q1 2026$136.6M+8.9%
Q4 2025$140M+4.1%
Q3 2025$142.8M+3.6%
Q2 2025$136.9M+6.8%
Q1 2025$125.4M+3.1%
Q4 2024$134.5M+4.9%

MCRI's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $146M last quarter, up 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $21MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$41.9M-22%
Q2 2026$25.6M-1.7%
Q1 2026$43M+158%
Q4 2025$32.2M+23%
Q3 2025$53.5M+51%
Q2 2025$26M+138%
Q1 2025$16.6M-19%
Q4 2024$26.2M+20%

MCRI has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

MCRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-113K shares
1 year-3.1%-588K shares
3 years-7.4%-1.5M shares
5 years-6.6%-1.3M shares
Available history-2.9%-536K shares

MCRI has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

MCRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

MCRI has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MCRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.4Neutral
Stochastic13.8Oversold

MCRI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

MCRI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCRISector medianRelative
PE18x18x2.6% below
PE %334714 pts below

MCRI is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$113.32.1% below
20 week MA$119.47.2% below
50 week MA$110.60.2% above
100 week MA$100.011% above
200 week MA$85.430% above

MCRI has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

MCRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.1$59.5+24%
2021$59.5$73.5+24%
2022$73.5$77.0+4.7%
2023$77.0$69.2-10%
2024$69.2$78.1+13%
2025$78.1$98.3+26%
2026 YTD$98.3$110.8+13%

MCRI has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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