MCK

McKesson Corporation

62
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MCK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over MCK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MCK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

MCK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MCK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x25x37x49x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$654-39%
Forward22x$1,077—
Fair26x$1,019-5.4%
Current28x$1,077—
Expensive31x$1,206+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over MCK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MCK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MCK, with profitability holding steady.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over MCK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MCK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,228.43
Downside-14%$925.61

Calculated from the latest close: $1,077.05 on Nov 12.

MCK trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MCK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.05Q1 2024: $22.39Q2 2024: $22.37Q3 2024: $19.32Q4 2024: $21.85Q1 2025: $25.72Q2 2025: $24.97Q3 2025: $32.02Q4 2025: $34.66Q1 2026: $38.38Q2 2026: $37.28Q3 2026: $38.80Forward: $48.95
Q4 2023: $22.05Q1 2024: $22.39Q2 2024: $22.37Q3 2024: $19.32Q4 2024: $21.85Q1 2025: $25.72Q2 2025: $24.97Q3 2025: $32.02Q4 2025: $34.66Q1 2026: $38.38Q2 2026: $37.28Q3 2026: $38.80Forward: $48.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$48.95+26%
Q3 2026$38.80+21%
Q2 2026$37.28+49%
Q1 2026$38.38+49%
Q4 2025$34.66+59%
Q3 2025$32.02+66%
Q2 2025$24.97+12%
Q1 2025$25.72+15%
Q4 2024$21.85-0.9%

MCK has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MCK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $80.9BQ1 2024: $76.4BQ2 2024: $79.3BQ3 2024: $93.7BQ4 2024: $95.3BQ1 2025: $90.8BQ2 2025: $97.8BQ3 2025: $103BQ4 2025: $106BQ1 2026: $96.3BQ2 2026: $105BQ3 2026: $111B
Q4 2023: $80.9BQ1 2024: $76.4BQ2 2024: $79.3BQ3 2024: $93.7BQ4 2024: $95.3BQ1 2025: $90.8BQ2 2025: $97.8BQ3 2025: $103BQ4 2025: $106BQ1 2026: $96.3BQ2 2026: $105BQ3 2026: $111B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$111B+7.6%
Q2 2026$105.4B+7.7%
Q1 2026$96.3B+6%
Q4 2025$106.2B+11%
Q3 2025$103.2B+10%
Q2 2025$97.8B+23%
Q1 2025$90.8B+19%
Q4 2024$95.3B+18%

MCK's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $111B last quarter, up 7.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over MCK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MCK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: −$1.5BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: −$2.5BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: −$332MQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: −$1.5BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: −$2.5BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: −$332MQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3B+30%
Q2 2026-$332M+$697M
Q1 2026$3.3B-56%
Q4 2025$1.1B+$3.6B
Q3 2025$2.3B+18%
Q2 2025-$1B+$457M
Q1 2025$7.6B+91%
Q4 2024-$2.5B-1630%

MCK generated $7.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 12% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

MCK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 134MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 129MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 124MQ1 2026: 124MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 117M
Q4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 134MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 129MQ4 2024: 127MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 126MQ3 2025: 124MQ4 2025: 124MQ1 2026: 124MQ2 2026: 119MQ3 2026: 117M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.1%-2.5M shares
1 year-6.2%-7.7M shares
3 years-13%-18.1M shares
5 years-25%-39.1M shares
Available history-35%-63.3M shares

MCK has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

MCK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

MCK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over MCK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MCK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI76.3Overbought
Stochastic82.8Overbought

MCK's weekly RSI is 76 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

MCK PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMCKSector medianRelative
PE28x26x7.4% above
PE %672938 pts above

MCK is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over MCK on valuation relative to its sector.

MCK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$980.79.8% above
20 week MA$906.619% above
50 week MA$865.924% above
100 week MA$781.238% above
200 week MA$628.871% above

MCK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 71% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

MCK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.4$170.8+22%
2021$170.8$240.8+41%
2022$240.8$383.7+59%
2023$383.7$463.0+21%
2024$463.0$576.6+25%
2025$576.6$828.3+44%
2026 YTD$828.3$1,077.1+30%

MCK has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 30% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over MCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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