MCHX

Marchex, Inc.

50
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

MCHX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over MCHX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MCHX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

MCHX's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MCHX PE Valuation

MCHX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

MCHX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MCHX, with profitability improving.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TMUS, with profitability improving.

MCHX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$1.88
Downside-26%$1.02

Calculated from the latest close: $1.38 on Nov 12.

MCHX trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCHX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MCHX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.22Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $-0.11Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $-0.11Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.10Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.12Forward: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-0.22Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $-0.11Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $-0.11Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $-0.10Q3 2025: $-0.10Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.12Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15—
Q2 2026-$0.12-$0.02
Q1 2026-$0.11+$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.11$0.00
Q3 2025-$0.10-$0.01
Q2 2025-$0.10+$0.01
Q1 2025-$0.12+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.11+$0.11
Q3 2022-$0.14+$0.02

MCHX is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.12 per share over the past year, against $0.22 at its worst in late 2023.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over MCHX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MCHX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $11M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11M-5.6%
Q1 2026$10.6M-6.9%
Q4 2025$10.8M-9%
Q3 2025$11.5M-8.3%
Q2 2025$11.7M-3.5%
Q1 2025$11.4M-1.5%
Q4 2024$11.9M-3.8%
Q3 2024$12.6M-1.8%

MCHX's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $11M last quarter, down 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over MCHX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCHX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$380,000Q4 2023: $901,000Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $40,000Q3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $710,000Q1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $454,000Q3 2025: $897,000Q4 2025: $116,000Q1 2026: −$957,000Q2 2026: −$651,000
Q3 2023: −$380,000Q4 2023: $901,000Q1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: $40,000Q3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $710,000Q1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $454,000Q3 2025: $897,000Q4 2025: $116,000Q1 2026: −$957,000Q2 2026: −$651,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$651K-243%
Q1 2026-$957K+$2M
Q4 2025$116K-84%
Q3 2025$897K+351%
Q2 2025$454K+1035%
Q1 2025-$2.9M-$429K
Q4 2024$710K-21%
Q3 2024$199K+$579K

MCHX has burned cash in most quarters: −$595,000 over the past year, against −$2M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over MCHX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MCHX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 43MQ4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 49M
Q3 2023: 43MQ4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+5.5M shares
1 year0%--
3 years+3%+1.4M shares
5 years+0.1%+70K shares
Available history-3.5%-1.7M shares

MCHX has 49M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over MCHX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCHX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022-10.9xNet Cash
Q1 2022-5.4xNet Cash
Q4 2021-27.6xNet Cash
Q4 2019-28.7xNet Cash
Q3 2019-23.5xNet Cash

MCHX has more cash than debt.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MCHX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MCHX's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

MCHX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MCHX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

MCHX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.324.5% above
20 week MA$1.5511% below
50 week MA$1.5813% below
100 week MA$1.7119% below
200 week MA$1.6918% below

MCHX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 18% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

MCHX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.77$2.15-43%
2021$2.15$2.71+26%
2022$2.71$1.71-37%
2023$1.71$1.36-20%
2024$1.36$1.88+38%
2025$1.88$1.67-11%
2026 YTD$1.67$1.38-17%

MCHX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over MCHX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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