MCFT

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

47
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation7/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

MCFT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over MCFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

MCFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Strong

MCFT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MCFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$1.21-94%
Fair9.3x$1.67-92%
Expensive24x$4.36-80%
Current120x$21.59—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCFT's PE is in its expensive range at 120x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MCFT to show an outlook.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$22.90
Downside-72%$6.14

Calculated from the latest close: $21.59 on Nov 12.

MCFT trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCFT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MCFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.18-81%
Q2 2026-$0.10-123%
Q1 2026$0.68+$1.05
Q4 2025$0.96+$1.34
Q3 2025$0.97+$1.18
Q2 2025$0.44-4.3%
Q1 2025-$0.37-117%
Q4 2024-$0.38-112%

MCFT has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

MCFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$154.1M+123%
Q2 2026$129.9M+63%
Q1 2026$78.2M+3%
Q4 2025$71.8M+13%
Q3 2025$69M+5.6%
Q2 2025$79.5M+18%
Q1 2025$76M-21%
Q4 2024$63.4M-36%

MCFT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $154M last quarter, up 123% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over MCFT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M+$12.8M
Q2 2026$14.6M-18%
Q1 2026$3.8M-13%
Q4 2025$14M+245%
Q3 2025-$9.9M-5083%
Q2 2025$17.9M+$31.4M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$5.2M
Q4 2024$4M-83%

MCFT has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

MCFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+51%+8.2M shares
1 year+48%+7.9M shares
3 years+39%+6.8M shares
5 years+28%+5.3M shares
Available history+30%+5.5M shares

MCFT has 24M diluted shares, up 48% from a year ago.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has the edge over MCFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.1xNet Cash

MCFT has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MCFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

MCFT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

MCFT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCFTSector medianRelative
PE120x18x565% above
PE %1004753 pts above

MCFT is trading at 120x earnings, a 565% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.46.1% above
20 week MA$22.33.2% below
50 week MA$22.12.4% below
100 week MA$20.55.2% above
200 week MA$22.01.8% below

MCFT has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

MCFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.4$26.7+73%
2021$26.7$26.3-1.6%
2022$26.3$26.2-0.3%
2023$26.2$22.6-14%
2024$22.6$18.7-17%
2025$18.7$19.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$19.5$21.6+11%

MCFT has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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