MCFT

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

47
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation7/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

MCFT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over MCFT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

MCFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Strong

MCFT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

MCFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$1.21-94%
Fair9.3x$1.67-92%
Expensive24x$4.36-80%
Current120x$21.59—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCFT's PE is in its expensive range at 120x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over MCFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MCFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MCFT to show an outlook.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$22.90
Downside-72%$6.14

Calculated from the latest close: $21.59 on Nov 12.

MCFT trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCFT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MCFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.18-81%
Q2 2026-$0.10-123%
Q1 2026$0.68+$1.05
Q4 2025$0.96+$1.34
Q3 2025$0.97+$1.18
Q2 2025$0.44-4.3%
Q1 2025-$0.37-117%
Q4 2024-$0.38-112%

MCFT has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

MCFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$154.1M+123%
Q2 2026$129.9M+63%
Q1 2026$78.2M+3%
Q4 2025$71.8M+13%
Q3 2025$69M+5.6%
Q2 2025$79.5M+18%
Q1 2025$76M-21%
Q4 2024$63.4M-36%

MCFT has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M+$12.8M
Q2 2026$14.6M-18%
Q1 2026$3.8M-13%
Q4 2025$14M+245%
Q3 2025-$9.9M-5083%
Q2 2025$17.9M+$31.4M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$5.2M
Q4 2024$4M-83%

MCFT has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

MCFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+51%+8.2M shares
1 year+48%+7.9M shares
3 years+39%+6.8M shares
5 years+28%+5.3M shares
Available history+30%+5.5M shares

MCFT has 24M diluted shares, up 48% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over MCFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.1xNet Cash

MCFT has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MCFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

MCFT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

MCFT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCFTSector medianRelative
PE120x18x565% above
PE %1004753 pts above

MCFT is trading at 120x earnings, a 565% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over MCFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MCFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.46.1% above
20 week MA$22.33.2% below
50 week MA$22.12.4% below
100 week MA$20.55.2% above
200 week MA$22.01.8% below

MCFT has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

MCFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.4$26.7+73%
2021$26.7$26.3-1.6%
2022$26.3$26.2-0.3%
2023$26.2$22.6-14%
2024$22.6$18.7-17%
2025$18.7$19.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$19.5$21.6+11%

MCFT has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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