MCFT

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

47
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation7/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

MCFT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over MCFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

MCFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Strong

MCFT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MCFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$1.21-94%
Fair9.3x$1.67-92%
Expensive24x$4.36-80%
Current120x$21.59—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCFT's PE is in its expensive range at 120x.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MCFT to show an outlook.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MCFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$22.90
Downside-72%$6.14

Calculated from the latest close: $21.59 on Nov 12.

MCFT trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCFT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MCFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.18-81%
Q2 2026-$0.10-123%
Q1 2026$0.68+$1.05
Q4 2025$0.96+$1.34
Q3 2025$0.97+$1.18
Q2 2025$0.44-4.3%
Q1 2025-$0.37-117%
Q4 2024-$0.38-112%

MCFT has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

MCFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$154.1M+123%
Q2 2026$129.9M+63%
Q1 2026$78.2M+3%
Q4 2025$71.8M+13%
Q3 2025$69M+5.6%
Q2 2025$79.5M+18%
Q1 2025$76M-21%
Q4 2024$63.4M-36%

MCFT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $154M last quarter, up 123% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over MCFT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M+$12.8M
Q2 2026$14.6M-18%
Q1 2026$3.8M-13%
Q4 2025$14M+245%
Q3 2025-$9.9M-5083%
Q2 2025$17.9M+$31.4M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$5.2M
Q4 2024$4M-83%

MCFT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $35M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

MCFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+51%+8.2M shares
1 year+48%+7.9M shares
3 years+39%+6.8M shares
5 years+28%+5.3M shares
Available history+30%+5.5M shares

MCFT has 24M diluted shares, up 48% from a year ago.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has the edge over MCFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.1xNet Cash

MCFT has more cash than debt.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MCFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

MCFT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MCFT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCFTSector medianRelative
PE120x18x565% above
PE %1004753 pts above

MCFT is trading at 120x earnings, a 565% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.46.1% above
20 week MA$22.33.2% below
50 week MA$22.12.4% below
100 week MA$20.55.2% above
200 week MA$22.01.8% below

MCFT has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

MCFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.4$26.7+73%
2021$26.7$26.3-1.6%
2022$26.3$26.2-0.3%
2023$26.2$22.6-14%
2024$22.6$18.7-17%
2025$18.7$19.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$19.5$21.6+11%

MCFT has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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