MC
Moelis & Company
MC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over MC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
MC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MC.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
MC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $35.85 | -36% |
| Forward | 16x | $56.01 | — |
| Current | 19x | $56.01 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $60.15 | +7.4% |
| Expensive | 38x | $112 | +101% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MC's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over MC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
MC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.55 | +21% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.94 | -1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.87 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.78 | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.94 | +67% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.99 | +464% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.54 | +1593% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.18 | +$2.37 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.76 | +$2.12 |
MC has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
MC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $409.4M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.8M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $487.9M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $356.9M | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $365.4M | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $306.6M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $438.7M | +104% |
| Q3 2024 | $273.8M | +0.6% |
MC's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $409M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | -3.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | +9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +9.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +34 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.7% | +13 points |
MC's operating margin was 18% last quarter, up 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over MC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over MC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $250.2M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $218M | +9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | -$291.6M | -$123M |
| Q4 2025 | $329.6M | +5.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $179.6M | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $199.4M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | -$168.6M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $313M | +233% |
MC has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
MC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -1.4M shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -994K shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +9.3M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +9.8M shares |
| Available history | +39% | +21.7M shares |
MC has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $23.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $117.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $46.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $1M |
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
MC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
MC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MC.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over MC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 30.3 | Neutral |
MC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
MC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 46% above |
| PE % | 44 | 63 | 19 pts below |
MC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $56.6 | 1% below |
| 20 week MA | $62.6 | 10% below |
| 50 week MA | $64.5 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $65.3 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $59.0 | 5.1% below |
MC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.1% below its 200-week average.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has the edge over MC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.8 | $47.2 | +44% |
| 2021 | $47.2 | $62.4 | +32% |
| 2022 | $62.4 | $39.0 | -37% |
| 2023 | $39.0 | $56.1 | +44% |
| 2024 | $56.1 | $74.5 | +33% |
| 2025 | $74.5 | $71.6 | -3.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $71.6 | $56.0 | -22% |
MC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.