MBUU
Malibu Boats, Inc.
MBUU has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over MBUU overall, supported by stronger valuation.
MBUU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
MBUU's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
MBUU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.8x | $20.35 | — |
| Cheap | 7.4x | $3.16 | -84% |
| Fair | 13x | $5.52 | -73% |
| Expensive | 26x | $11.27 | -45% |
| Current | 47x | $20.35 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MBUU has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MBUU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MBUU has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MBUU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.01 | +600% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.43 | -56% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.07 | +$0.33 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.72 | +$5.06 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.97 | +$4.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.76 | +$3.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.40 | +$2.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.34 | -239% |
MBUU has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
MBUU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $252.9M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $295.5M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $235.7M | +3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $188.6M | -5.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $194.7M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $207M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $228.7M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $200.3M | -5.1% |
MBUU has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.2% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8% | -8.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | -5.4 points |
MBUU has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MBUU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.5M | -1871% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | +$19.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1M | +214% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.8M | -56% |
MBUU has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
MBUU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +596K shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +604K shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -744K shares |
| 5 years | -5.6% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -3.7% | -761K shares |
MBUU has 20M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $13.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $10.5M |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over MBUU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
MBUU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
MBUU's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over MBUU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MBUU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.6 | Oversold |
MBUU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
MBUU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MBUU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 18x | 163% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
MBUU has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MBUU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.2 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.2 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $27.1 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $29.7 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $38.4 | 47% below |
MBUU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over MBUU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MBUU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $67.0 | +64% |
| 2021 | $67.0 | $66.6 | -0.7% |
| 2022 | $66.6 | $53.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $53.9 | $54.8 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | $54.8 | $36.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $36.6 | $29.3 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.3 | $20.4 | -31% |
MBUU has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 31% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over MBUU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.