MBUU
Malibu Boats, Inc.
MBUU has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over MBUU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
MBUU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
MBUU's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MBUU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.8x | $20.35 | — |
| Cheap | 7.4x | $3.16 | -84% |
| Fair | 13x | $5.52 | -73% |
| Expensive | 26x | $11.27 | -45% |
| Current | 47x | $20.35 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MBUU's PE is in its expensive range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBUU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MBUU, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MBUU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.01 | +600% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.43 | -56% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.09 | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.07 | +$0.33 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.72 | +$5.06 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.97 | +$4.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.76 | +$3.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.40 | +$2.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.34 | -239% |
MBUU has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
MBUU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $252.9M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $295.5M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $235.7M | +3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $188.6M | -5.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $194.7M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $207M | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $228.7M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $200.3M | -5.1% |
MBUU's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $253M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.2% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8% | -8.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | +19 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | -5.4 points |
MBUU has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over MBUU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MBUU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$39.5M | -1871% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.5M | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | +$19.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1M | +214% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.8M | -56% |
MBUU has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
MBUU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +596K shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +604K shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -744K shares |
| 5 years | -5.6% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -3.7% | -761K shares |
MBUU has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $13.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $10.5M |
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MBUU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
MBUU's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MBUU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.6 | Oversold |
MBUU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MBUU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MBUU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 18x | 163% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
MBUU is trading at 47x earnings, a 163% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBUU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $22.2 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.2 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $27.1 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $29.7 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $38.4 | 47% below |
MBUU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MBUU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $67.0 | +64% |
| 2021 | $67.0 | $66.6 | -0.7% |
| 2022 | $66.6 | $53.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $53.9 | $54.8 | +1.7% |
| 2024 | $54.8 | $36.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $36.6 | $29.3 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $29.3 | $20.4 | -31% |
MBUU has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.