MBUU

Malibu Boats, Inc.

41
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

MBUU's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over MBUU overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

MBUU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

MBUU's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

MBUU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x161x242x322x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x161x242x322x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.8x$20.35—
Cheap7.4x$3.16-84%
Fair13x$5.52-73%
Expensive26x$11.27-45%
Current47x$20.35—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBUU's PE is in its expensive range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over MBUU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MBUU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

MBUU has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MBUU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$25.73
Downside-29%$14.42

Calculated from the latest close: $20.35 on Nov 12.

MBUU trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MBUU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MBUU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $-2.67Q2 2024: $-2.74Q3 2024: $-3.97Q4 2024: $-4.34Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $0.76Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.43Forward: $3.01
Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $-2.67Q2 2024: $-2.74Q3 2024: $-3.97Q4 2024: $-4.34Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $0.76Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.43Forward: $3.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.01+600%
Q3 2026$0.43-56%
Q2 2026$0.09-88%
Q1 2026-$0.07+$0.33
Q4 2025$0.72+$5.06
Q3 2025$0.97+$4.94
Q2 2025$0.76+$3.50
Q1 2025-$0.40+$2.27
Q4 2024-$4.34-239%

MBUU has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

MBUU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $172MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $229MQ2 2025: $207MQ3 2025: $195MQ4 2025: $189MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $296MQ3 2026: $253M
Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $172MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $229MQ2 2025: $207MQ3 2025: $195MQ4 2025: $189MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $296MQ3 2026: $253M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$252.9M+30%
Q2 2026$295.5M+43%
Q1 2026$235.7M+3.1%
Q4 2025$188.6M-5.8%
Q3 2025$194.7M+13%
Q2 2025$207M+30%
Q1 2025$228.7M+12%
Q4 2024$200.3M-5.1%

MBUU has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MBUU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$39M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$39.5M-1871%
Q2 2026$16.9M+20%
Q1 2026$15.5M+77%
Q4 2025$8.2M-64%
Q3 2025$2.2M+$19.3M
Q2 2025$14.1M+214%
Q1 2025$8.8M-24%
Q4 2024$22.8M-56%

MBUU has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

MBUU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+596K shares
1 year+3.1%+604K shares
3 years-3.6%-744K shares
5 years-5.6%-1.2M shares
Available history-3.7%-761K shares

MBUU has 20M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over MBUU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MBUU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.2xNet Cash

MBUU's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over MBUU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MBUU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.3Neutral
Stochastic14.6Oversold

MBUU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

MBUU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMBUUSector medianRelative
PE47x18x163% above
PE %964749 pts above

MBUU is trading at 47x earnings, a 163% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over MBUU on valuation relative to its sector.

MBUU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.28.3% below
20 week MA$25.219% below
50 week MA$27.125% below
100 week MA$29.732% below
200 week MA$38.447% below

MBUU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over MBUU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MBUU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$67.0+64%
2021$67.0$66.6-0.7%
2022$66.6$53.9-19%
2023$53.9$54.8+1.7%
2024$54.8$36.6-33%
2025$36.6$29.3-20%
2026 YTD$29.3$20.4-31%

MBUU has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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