MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
MBLY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has a slight edge over MBLY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MBLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
MBLY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is weak.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MBLY PE Valuation
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBLY, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MBLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.94 | -$4.52 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.98 | -$1.33 |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.03 | -$1.35 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.48 | +$3.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.42 | +$3.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.65 | -$3.38 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.68 | -$3.48 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.82 | -$3.79 |
MBLY lost $4.94 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over MBLY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MBLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $492M | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $508M | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $558M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $446M | -9% |
| Q3 2025 | $504M | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $506M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $438M | +83% |
| Q4 2024 | $490M | -23% |
MBLY's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $492M last quarter, down 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -698% | -672 points |
| Q4 2025 | -31% | -14 points |
| Q3 2025 | -22% | +556 points |
| Q2 2025 | -15% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -27% | +73 points |
| Q4 2024 | -18% | -29 points |
MBLY has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over MBLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MBLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $72M | -50% |
| Q2 2026 | $114M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $45M | -53% |
| Q4 2025 | $86M | -55% |
| Q3 2025 | $143M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $199M | +3217% |
| Q1 2025 | $95M | +428% |
| Q4 2024 | $191M | +122% |
MBLY has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
MBLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +10M shares |
| 3 years | +1.7% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +3.5% | +28.1M shares |
MBLY has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $23.5M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $2M |
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MBLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | -202.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -12.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2022 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
MBLY has more cash than debt.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MBLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 28.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
MBLY's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MBLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.71 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.90 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.68 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.9 | 53% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.6 | 74% below |
MBLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MBLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $27.0 | $34.0 | +26% |
| 2023 | $34.0 | $43.3 | +27% |
| 2024 | $43.3 | $20.0 | -54% |
| 2025 | $20.0 | $10.4 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.4 | $5.64 | -46% |
MBLY has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over MBLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.