MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
MBLY offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over MBLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
MBLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
MBLY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is weak.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
MBLY PE Valuation
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
MBLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MBLY has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MBLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.94 | -$4.52 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.98 | -$1.33 |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.03 | -$1.35 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.48 | +$3.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.42 | +$3.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.65 | -$3.38 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.68 | -$3.48 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.82 | -$3.79 |
MBLY lost $4.94 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over MBLY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MBLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $492M | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $508M | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $558M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $446M | -9% |
| Q3 2025 | $504M | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $506M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $438M | +83% |
| Q4 2024 | $490M | -23% |
MBLY has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -698% | -672 points |
| Q4 2025 | -31% | -14 points |
| Q3 2025 | -22% | +556 points |
| Q2 2025 | -15% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -27% | +73 points |
| Q4 2024 | -18% | -29 points |
MBLY's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over MBLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MBLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $72M | -50% |
| Q2 2026 | $114M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $45M | -53% |
| Q4 2025 | $86M | -55% |
| Q3 2025 | $143M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $199M | +3217% |
| Q1 2025 | $95M | +428% |
| Q4 2024 | $191M | +122% |
MBLY has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
MBLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +10M shares |
| 3 years | +1.7% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +3.5% | +28.1M shares |
MBLY has 824M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $23.5M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $2M |
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over MBLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
MBLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | -202.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -12.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2022 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
MBLY has more cash than debt.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MBLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 28.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
MBLY's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
MBLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MBLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.71 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.90 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.68 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.9 | 53% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.6 | 74% below |
MBLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over MBLY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MBLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $27.0 | $34.0 | +26% |
| 2023 | $34.0 | $43.3 | +27% |
| 2024 | $43.3 | $20.0 | -54% |
| 2025 | $20.0 | $10.4 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.4 | $5.64 | -46% |
MBLY has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over MBLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.