MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc.
MBLY offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over MBLY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
MBLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
MBLY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is weak.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MBLY PE Valuation
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBLY, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
MBLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.94 | -$4.52 |
| Q2 2026 | -$4.98 | -$1.33 |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.03 | -$1.35 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.48 | +$3.34 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.42 | +$3.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.65 | -$3.38 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.68 | -$3.48 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.82 | -$3.79 |
MBLY lost $4.94 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over MBLY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MBLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $492M | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $508M | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $558M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $446M | -9% |
| Q3 2025 | $504M | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $506M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $438M | +83% |
| Q4 2024 | $490M | -23% |
MBLY's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $492M last quarter, down 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -17% | +5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -698% | -672 points |
| Q4 2025 | -31% | -14 points |
| Q3 2025 | -22% | +556 points |
| Q2 2025 | -15% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -27% | +73 points |
| Q4 2024 | -18% | -29 points |
MBLY's operating margin was −17% last quarter, up 5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over MBLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO has the edge over MBLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MBLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $72M | -50% |
| Q2 2026 | $114M | -43% |
| Q1 2026 | $45M | -53% |
| Q4 2025 | $86M | -55% |
| Q3 2025 | $143M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $199M | +3217% |
| Q1 2025 | $95M | +428% |
| Q4 2024 | $191M | +122% |
MBLY still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $317M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
MBLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.7% | +6M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +10M shares |
| 3 years | +1.7% | +14M shares |
| 5 years | +3.5% | +28.1M shares |
MBLY has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $23.5M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $2M |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MBLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | -202.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -12.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2022 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
MBLY has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MBLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 28.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
MBLY's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MBLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
MBLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.71 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.90 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.68 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.9 | 53% below |
| 200 week MA | $21.6 | 74% below |
MBLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 74% below its 200-week average.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
MBLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $27.0 | $34.0 | +26% |
| 2023 | $34.0 | $43.3 | +27% |
| 2024 | $43.3 | $20.0 | -54% |
| 2025 | $20.0 | $10.4 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.4 | $5.64 | -46% |
MBLY has finished lower in two of the last four years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over MBLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.