MBC
MasterBrand, Inc.
MBC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over MBC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MBC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
MBC's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MBC PE Valuation
MBC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Turning to a loss | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MBC's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over MBC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
MBC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.87 | -238% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.68 | -196% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.01 | -101% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.21 | -78% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.63 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.71 | -49% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.77 | -46% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.96 | -31% |
MBC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.87 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over MBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MBC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $815.2M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $618M | -6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $644.6M | -3.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $698.9M | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $730.9M | +8% |
| Q1 2025 | $660.3M | +3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $667.7M | -1.4% |
MBC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $1B last quarter, up 48% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1% | -5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.4% | -13 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3% | -8.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4.2% | -9.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.2% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.6% | -3.4 points |
MBC has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over MBC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MBC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $61.2M | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $128.6M | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | -$146.2M | -$105M |
| Q4 2025 | $52.5M | -24% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.5M | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | $66.7M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | -$41.2M | -452% |
| Q4 2024 | $68.8M | +107% |
MBC has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
MBC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +32% | +49.9M shares |
| 1 year | +57% | +74M shares |
| 3 years | +56% | +73.2M shares |
| 5 years | +59% | +75.5M shares |
MBC has 204M diluted shares, up 57% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $6.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
MBC hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has the edge over MBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MBC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12.7x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 13.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
MBC's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MBC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.4 | Oversold |
MBC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MBC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MBC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MBC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MBC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.89 | 10% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.91 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.12 | 32% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.9 | 43% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.4 | 50% below |
MBC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MBC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $10.0 | $7.58 | -24% |
| 2023 | $7.58 | $14.9 | +96% |
| 2024 | $14.9 | $14.4 | -2.8% |
| 2025 | $14.4 | $11.3 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.3 | $6.19 | -45% |
MBC has finished lower in three of the last four years. It's down 45% so far in 2026.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over MBC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.