MBC

MasterBrand, Inc.

46
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MBC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over MBC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

MBC's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MBC PE Valuation

MBC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MBC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect MBC's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over MBC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

MBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$8.89
Downside-30%$4.33

Calculated from the latest close: $6.19 on Nov 12.

MBC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails MBC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.42Q2 2024: $1.38Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $0.96Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $-0.68Q3 2026: $-0.87
Q4 2023: $1.40Q1 2024: $1.42Q2 2024: $1.38Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $0.96Q1 2025: $0.77Q2 2025: $0.71Q3 2025: $0.63Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $-0.01Q2 2026: $-0.68Q3 2026: $-0.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.87-238%
Q2 2026-$0.68-196%
Q1 2026-$0.01-101%
Q4 2025$0.21-78%
Q3 2025$0.63-45%
Q2 2025$0.71-49%
Q1 2025$0.77-46%
Q4 2024$0.96-31%

MBC has swung to a loss: it lost $0.87 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO has the edge over MBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $677MQ1 2024: $638MQ2 2024: $677MQ3 2024: $718MQ4 2024: $668MQ1 2025: $660MQ2 2025: $731MQ3 2025: $699MQ4 2025: $645MQ1 2026: $618MQ2 2026: $815MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $677MQ1 2024: $638MQ2 2024: $677MQ3 2024: $718MQ4 2024: $668MQ1 2025: $660MQ2 2025: $731MQ3 2025: $699MQ4 2025: $645MQ1 2026: $618MQ2 2026: $815MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+48%
Q2 2026$815.2M+12%
Q1 2026$618M-6.4%
Q4 2025$644.6M-3.5%
Q3 2025$698.9M-2.7%
Q2 2025$730.9M+8%
Q1 2025$660.3M+3.5%
Q4 2024$667.7M-1.4%

MBC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $1B last quarter, up 48% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over MBC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $69MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $67MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$146MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $69MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $67MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$146MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.2M+55%
Q2 2026$128.6M+93%
Q1 2026-$146.2M-$105M
Q4 2025$52.5M-24%
Q3 2025$39.5M-39%
Q2 2025$66.7M+0.9%
Q1 2025-$41.2M-452%
Q4 2024$68.8M+107%

MBC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $96M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

MBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 131MQ1 2025: 131MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 154MQ3 2026: 204M
Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 131MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 131MQ1 2025: 131MQ2 2025: 129MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 154MQ3 2026: 204M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+32%+49.9M shares
1 year+57%+74M shares
3 years+56%+73.2M shares
5 years+59%+75.5M shares

MBC has 204M diluted shares, up 57% from a year ago.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has the edge over MBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 13.4xQ3 2026: 12.7x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 13.4xQ3 2026: 12.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202612.7xHigh
Q2 202613.4xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20242.8xModerate

MBC's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic16.4Oversold

MBC's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MBC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMBCSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MBC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.8910% below
20 week MA$7.9122% below
50 week MA$9.1232% below
100 week MA$10.943% below
200 week MA$12.450% below

MBC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

MBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$10.0$7.58-24%
2023$7.58$14.9+96%
2024$14.9$14.4-2.8%
2025$14.4$11.3-22%
2026 YTD$11.3$6.19-45%

MBC has finished lower in three of the last four years. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO has the edge over MBC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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