MBBC

Marathon Bancorp, Inc.

66
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

MBBC has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MBBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MBBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MBBC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

MBBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x98x147x196x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x98x147x196x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current23x$14.90—
Cheap35x$22.80+53%
Fair55x$35.52+138%
Expensive155x$101+575%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBBC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

MBBC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MBBC to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

MBBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$18.37
Downside-8%$13.75

Calculated from the latest close: $14.90 on Nov 12.

MBBC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails MBBC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MBBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.07Q2 2024: $-0.07Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.10Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $0.24Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.65
Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.07Q2 2024: $-0.07Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $-0.10Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $-0.03Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $0.24Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.66Q3 2026: $0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.65+829%
Q2 2026$0.66+$0.69
Q1 2026$0.37+118%
Q4 2025$0.24+$0.34
Q3 2025$0.07+$0.10
Q2 2025-$0.03+$0.04
Q1 2025$0.17+143%
Q4 2024-$0.10-124%

MBBC earned $0.65 per share over the past year, about nine times what it earned the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over MBBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5M+16%
Q2 2026$2.3M+22%
Q1 2026$2.3M+38%
Q4 2025$2.2M+42%
Q3 2025$2.1M+33%
Q2 2025$1.9M+23%
Q1 2025$1.7M+7.6%
Q4 2024$1.6M-4.6%

MBBC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $2M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MBBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $277,336Q1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $209,561Q3 2024: $921,575Q4 2024: $104,978Q1 2025: $773,165Q2 2025: −$530,250Q3 2025: $456,634Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $110,100Q2 2026: $54,064Q3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $277,336Q1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $209,561Q3 2024: $921,575Q4 2024: $104,978Q1 2025: $773,165Q2 2025: −$530,250Q3 2025: $456,634Q4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $110,100Q2 2026: $54,064Q3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6M+242%
Q2 2026$54.1K+$584.3K
Q1 2026$110.1K-86%
Q4 2025$1.4M+1233%
Q3 2025$456.6K-50%
Q2 2025-$530.3K-353%
Q1 2025$773.2K+$1.8M
Q4 2024$105K-62%

MBBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MBBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+52.8K shares
1 year+3.4%+91.6K shares
3 years-4%-116K shares
5 years-5.4%-158K shares

MBBC has 3M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over MBBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MBBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 34.2xQ1 2025: 16.6xQ2 2025: 41.7xQ3 2025: 19.7xQ4 2025: 14.3xQ1 2026: 13.8xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 34.2xQ1 2025: 16.6xQ2 2025: 41.7xQ3 2025: 19.7xQ4 2025: 14.3xQ1 2026: 13.8xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 202613.8xHigh
Q4 202514.3xHigh
Q3 202519.7xHigh
Q2 202541.7xHigh
Q1 202516.6xHigh
Q1 202434.2xHigh

MBBC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MBBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.4Neutral
Stochastic47.1Neutral

MBBC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MBBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMBBCSector medianRelative
PE23x13x76% above
PE %11198 pts below

MBBC is trading at 23x earnings, a 76% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over MBBC on valuation relative to its sector.

MBBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.90.3% above
20 week MA$15.00.7% below
50 week MA$14.15.4% above

MBBC has stronger trend alignment. MBBC is above 2 of 3 weekly averages versus MS above 3 of 5.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

MBBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$7.49$12.2+63%
2026 YTD$12.2$14.9+22%

MBBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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