MATX

Matson, Inc.

64
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MATX has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MATX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MATX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MATX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.9x$67.66-68%
Fair11x$187-12%
Forward11x$213—
Current12x$213—
Expensive16x$279+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MATX's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MATX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MATX, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MATX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$291.87
Downside-13%$184.03

Calculated from the latest close: $212.64 on Nov 12.

MATX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails MATX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MATX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.32Q1 2024: $8.42Q2 2024: $9.47Q3 2024: $11.96Q4 2024: $13.93Q1 2025: $15.07Q2 2025: $14.68Q3 2025: $13.03Q4 2025: $13.81Q1 2026: $13.48Q2 2026: $14.83Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $19.39
Q4 2023: $8.32Q1 2024: $8.42Q2 2024: $9.47Q3 2024: $11.96Q4 2024: $13.93Q1 2025: $15.07Q2 2025: $14.68Q3 2025: $13.03Q4 2025: $13.81Q1 2026: $13.48Q2 2026: $14.83Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $19.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.39+10%
Q3 2026$17.55+35%
Q2 2026$14.83+1%
Q1 2026$13.48-11%
Q4 2025$13.81-0.9%
Q3 2025$13.03+8.9%
Q2 2025$14.68+55%
Q1 2025$15.07+79%
Q4 2024$13.93+67%

MATX has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

MATX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $789MQ1 2024: $722MQ2 2024: $847MQ3 2024: $962MQ4 2024: $890MQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $831MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $852MQ1 2026: $758MQ2 2026: $969MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $789MQ1 2024: $722MQ2 2024: $847MQ3 2024: $962MQ4 2024: $890MQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $831MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $852MQ1 2026: $758MQ2 2026: $969MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+27%
Q2 2026$969.4M+17%
Q1 2026$757.8M-3.1%
Q4 2025$851.9M-4.3%
Q3 2025$880.1M-8.5%
Q2 2025$830.5M-2%
Q1 2025$782M+8.3%
Q4 2024$890.3M+13%

MATX's revenue is growing: $1.1B last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over MATX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MATX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $249MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$200,000Q2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $229M
Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $249MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$200,000Q2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $229M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$229M+148%
Q2 2026$137.6M+613%
Q1 2026$45.7M+$45.9M
Q3 2025$92.4M-63%
Q2 2025$19.3M-94%
Q1 2025-$200K-101%
Q3 2024$248.6M+63%
Q2 2024$307.9M+106%

MATX has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

MATX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-200K shares
1 year-5.3%-1.7M shares
3 years-15%-5.2M shares
5 years-31%-13.3M shares
Available history-30%-13.2M shares

MATX has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

MATX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20210.7xVery low
Q2 20211.0xHealthy
Q1 20211.4xHealthy
Q4 20202.0xModerate
Q3 20202.8xModerate
Q2 20203.6xElevated
Q1 20204.2xHigh
Q4 20194.3xHigh

MATX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MATX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.3Neutral
Stochastic38.4Neutral

MATX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MATX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMATXSector medianRelative
PE12x24x50% below
PE %56582 pts below

MATX is trading at 12x earnings, a 50% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MATX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$224.25.2% below
20 week MA$219.93.3% below
50 week MA$184.815% above
100 week MA$150.042% above
200 week MA$126.768% above

MATX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 68% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

MATX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.1$57.3+39%
2021$57.3$83.7+46%
2022$83.7$64.5-23%
2023$64.5$109.6+70%
2024$109.6$136.5+25%
2025$136.5$125.0-8.4%
2026 YTD$125.0$212.6+70%

MATX has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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