MATX

Matson, Inc.

64
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MATX has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MATX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MATX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MATX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.9x$67.66-68%
Fair11x$187-12%
Forward11x$213—
Current12x$213—
Expensive16x$279+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MATX's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MATX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MATX, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MATX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$291.87
Downside-13%$184.03

Calculated from the latest close: $212.64 on Nov 12.

MATX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails MATX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MATX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.32Q1 2024: $8.42Q2 2024: $9.47Q3 2024: $11.96Q4 2024: $13.93Q1 2025: $15.07Q2 2025: $14.68Q3 2025: $13.03Q4 2025: $13.81Q1 2026: $13.48Q2 2026: $14.83Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $19.39
Q4 2023: $8.32Q1 2024: $8.42Q2 2024: $9.47Q3 2024: $11.96Q4 2024: $13.93Q1 2025: $15.07Q2 2025: $14.68Q3 2025: $13.03Q4 2025: $13.81Q1 2026: $13.48Q2 2026: $14.83Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $19.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.39+10%
Q3 2026$17.55+35%
Q2 2026$14.83+1%
Q1 2026$13.48-11%
Q4 2025$13.81-0.9%
Q3 2025$13.03+8.9%
Q2 2025$14.68+55%
Q1 2025$15.07+79%
Q4 2024$13.93+67%

MATX has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

MATX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $789MQ1 2024: $722MQ2 2024: $847MQ3 2024: $962MQ4 2024: $890MQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $831MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $852MQ1 2026: $758MQ2 2026: $969MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $789MQ1 2024: $722MQ2 2024: $847MQ3 2024: $962MQ4 2024: $890MQ1 2025: $782MQ2 2025: $831MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $852MQ1 2026: $758MQ2 2026: $969MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+27%
Q2 2026$969.4M+17%
Q1 2026$757.8M-3.1%
Q4 2025$851.9M-4.3%
Q3 2025$880.1M-8.5%
Q2 2025$830.5M-2%
Q1 2025$782M+8.3%
Q4 2024$890.3M+13%

MATX's revenue is growing: $1.1B last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over MATX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MATX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $249MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$200,000Q2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $229M
Q4 2023: $111MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $249MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$200,000Q2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $229M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$229M+148%
Q2 2026$137.6M+613%
Q1 2026$45.7M+$45.9M
Q3 2025$92.4M-63%
Q2 2025$19.3M-94%
Q1 2025-$200K-101%
Q3 2024$248.6M+63%
Q2 2024$307.9M+106%

MATX has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

MATX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-200K shares
1 year-5.3%-1.7M shares
3 years-15%-5.2M shares
5 years-31%-13.3M shares
Available history-30%-13.2M shares

MATX has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

MATX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20210.7xVery low
Q2 20211.0xHealthy
Q1 20211.4xHealthy
Q4 20202.0xModerate
Q3 20202.8xModerate
Q2 20203.6xElevated
Q1 20204.2xHigh
Q4 20194.3xHigh

MATX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MATX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.3Neutral
Stochastic38.4Neutral

MATX's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MATX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMATXSector medianRelative
PE12x24x50% below
PE %56582 pts below

MATX is trading at 12x earnings, a 50% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MATX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$224.25.2% below
20 week MA$219.93.3% below
50 week MA$184.815% above
100 week MA$150.042% above
200 week MA$126.768% above

MATX has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

MATX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.1$57.3+39%
2021$57.3$83.7+46%
2022$83.7$64.5-23%
2023$64.5$109.6+70%
2024$109.6$136.5+25%
2025$136.5$125.0-8.4%
2026 YTD$125.0$212.6+70%

MATX has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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