MATV

Mativ Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

MATV's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 7.2x earnings, below its usual 12x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MATV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

MATV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

MATV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE346x691x1037x1383x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE346x691x1037x1383x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.2x$12.17+1.4%
Current7.2x$12.01—
Forward11x$12.01—
Fair12x$19.50+62%
Expensive18x$29.90+149%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MATV's PE is in its cheap range at 7.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its fair range.

MATV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MATV's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MATV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$19.75
Downside-25%$8.97

Calculated from the latest close: $12.01 on Nov 12.

MATV's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +64% against −25%.

MATV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.69Q1 2024: $-6.07Q2 2024: $-6.02Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-8.20Q2 2025: $-8.35Q3 2025: $-8.03Q4 2025: $-6.19Q1 2026: $1.41Q2 2026: $1.65Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $1.12
Q4 2023: $-5.69Q1 2024: $-6.07Q2 2024: $-6.02Q3 2024: $1.93Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-8.20Q2 2025: $-8.35Q3 2025: $-8.03Q4 2025: $-6.19Q1 2026: $1.41Q2 2026: $1.65Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $1.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.12-33%
Q3 2026$1.68+$9.71
Q2 2026$1.65+$10.00
Q1 2026$1.41+$9.61
Q4 2025-$6.19-$5.29
Q3 2025-$8.03-516%
Q2 2025-$8.35-$2.33
Q1 2025-$8.20-$2.13
Q4 2024-$0.90+$4.79

MATV has returned to profit: it earned $1.68 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MATV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $452MQ1 2024: $500MQ2 2024: $524MQ3 2024: $499MQ4 2024: $459MQ1 2025: $485MQ2 2025: $525MQ3 2025: $514MQ4 2025: $463MQ1 2026: $480MQ2 2026: $532MQ3 2026: $500M
Q4 2023: $452MQ1 2024: $500MQ2 2024: $524MQ3 2024: $499MQ4 2024: $459MQ1 2025: $485MQ2 2025: $525MQ3 2025: $514MQ4 2025: $463MQ1 2026: $480MQ2 2026: $532MQ3 2026: $500M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$499.5M-2.8%
Q2 2026$531.8M+1.2%
Q1 2026$479.6M-1.1%
Q4 2025$463.1M+1%
Q3 2025$513.7M+3%
Q2 2025$525.4M+0.3%
Q1 2025$484.8M-3.1%
Q4 2024$458.6M+1.4%

MATV's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $500M last quarter, down 2.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

MATV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.5M-44%
Q2 2026$60.4M+24%
Q1 2026-$7.4M+$22.4M
Q4 2025$8M+300%
Q3 2025$66.7M+162%
Q2 2025$48.9M+31%
Q1 2025-$29.8M-$4.7M
Q4 2024$2M-95%

MATV still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $99M over the past year.

MATV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 55MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 54MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-489K shares
1 year+0.9%+518K shares
3 years+1%+531K shares
5 years+76%+23.8M shares
Available history+79%+24.4M shares

MATV has 55M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

MATV Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q3 2024: 6.8xQ4 2024: 6.6xQ1 2026: 4.9xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20264.9xHigh
Q4 20246.6xHigh
Q3 20246.8xHigh
Q2 20237.5xHigh
Q1 20238.3xHigh
Q4 20228.7xHigh

MATV's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.8 years a year ago.

MATV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.2Neutral
Stochastic52.3Neutral

MATV's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

MATV PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricMATVSector medianRelative
PE7.2x19x62% below
PE %154025 pts below

MATV is trading at 7.2x earnings, a 62% discount to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

MATV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.72.5% above
20 week MA$11.09.2% above
50 week MA$10.613% above
100 week MA$9.6824% above
200 week MA$13.39.8% below

MATV has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.8% below its 200-week average.

MATV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$41.8$40.3-3.5%
2021$40.3$29.8-26%
2022$29.8$21.4-28%
2023$21.4$15.3-28%
2024$15.3$11.0-28%
2025$11.0$12.4+13%
2026 YTD$12.4$12.0-3.5%

MATV has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 3.5% so far in 2026.

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