MARA

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MARA yet.

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

85
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential90/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SMCI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 5.7x earnings, about a third of its usual 19x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

MARA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

MARA's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MARA.

SMCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Strong

SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.

MARA PE Valuation

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.3x$26.99—
Current5.7x$26.99—
Cheap13x$61.50+128%
Fair19x$88.86+229%
Expensive26x$125+363%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMCI's PE is in its cheap range at 5.7x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.3x next year's earnings.

MARA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MARA's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MARA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.20 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MARA and SMCI's risk to reward.

SMCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+268%$99.45
Downside-29%$19.23

Calculated from the latest close: $26.99 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MARA and SMCI's risk to reward.

MARA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.88-465%
Q2 2026-$8.89-705%
Q1 2026-$5.45-$4.36
Q4 2025-$3.69-315%
Q3 2025$2.16+148%
Q2 2025$1.47-10%
Q1 2025-$1.09-149%
Q4 2024$1.72+87%

MARA has swung to a loss: it lost $7.88 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SMCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.78Q2 2024: $1.92Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $1.83Q2 2025: $1.68Q3 2025: $1.27Q4 2025: $1.36Q1 2026: $1.91Q2 2026: $3.26Q3 2026: $4.75Forward: $6.22
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.22+31%
Q3 2026$4.75+274%
Q2 2026$3.26+94%
Q1 2026$1.91+4.4%
Q4 2025$1.36-41%
Q3 2025$1.27-45%
Q2 2025$1.68-13%
Q1 2025$1.83+2.8%
Q4 2024$2.32+81%

SMCI has the edge over MARA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MARA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$164.2M-35%
Q2 2026$174.9M-27%
Q1 2026$174.6M-18%
Q4 2025$202.3M-5.6%
Q3 2025$252.4M+92%
Q2 2025$238.5M+64%
Q1 2025$213.9M+29%
Q4 2024$214.4M+37%

MARA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $164M last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $5.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $12.7BQ1 2026: $10.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $19.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.9B+298%
Q2 2026$11.1B+93%
Q1 2026$10.2B+123%
Q4 2025$12.7B+123%
Q3 2025$5B-15%
Q2 2025$5.8B+7.5%
Q1 2025$4.6B+19%
Q4 2024$5.7B+55%

SMCI has the edge over MARA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$93MQ1 2024: −$97MQ2 2024: −$132MQ3 2024: −$198MQ4 2024: −$500MQ1 2025: −$254MQ2 2025: −$282MQ3 2025: −$284MQ4 2025: −$389MQ1 2026: −$327MQ2 2026: −$239MQ3 2026: −$264M
Q4 2023: −$93MQ1 2024: −$97MQ2 2024: −$132MQ3 2024: −$198MQ4 2024: −$500MQ1 2025: −$254MQ2 2025: −$282MQ3 2025: −$284MQ4 2025: −$389MQ1 2026: −$327MQ2 2026: −$239MQ3 2026: −$264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$263.6M+$20.3M
Q2 2026-$238.5M+$43.8M
Q1 2026-$327M-$72.7M
Q4 2025-$389.2M+$110.7M
Q3 2025-$283.9M-$85.8M
Q2 2025-$282.4M-$150M
Q1 2025-$254.3M-$156.9M
Q4 2024-$499.9M-$407M

MARA's free cash flow was −$1.2B over the past year, against −$1.3B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

SMCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
Q4 2023: −$610MQ1 2024: −$1.6BQ2 2024: −$656MQ3 2024: $365MQ4 2024: −$267MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $841MQ3 2025: −$950MQ4 2025: −$45MQ1 2026: −$6.7BQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: −$476M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$475.6M+$474.2M
Q2 2026$718.7M-15%
Q1 2026-$6.7B-1227%
Q4 2025-$45.1M+$222.2M
Q3 2025-$949.8M-360%
Q2 2025$840.9M+$1.5B
Q1 2025$594.1M+$2.2B
Q4 2024-$267.3M+$342.5M

SMCI has the edge over MARA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+30%+115M shares
1 year+13%+55.5M shares
3 years+212%+337M shares
5 years+416%+400M shares

MARA has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
Q4 2023: 581MQ1 2024: 614MQ2 2024: 602MQ3 2024: 639MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 622MQ2 2025: 628MQ3 2025: 663MQ4 2025: 694MQ1 2026: 692MQ2 2026: 697MQ3 2026: 749M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.5%+52M shares
1 year+13%+86.1M shares
3 years+31%+178M shares
5 years+42%+220M shares
Available history+44%+229M shares

SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

MARA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate
Q3 20240.9xVery low
Q2 20240.1xVery low
Q1 20240.0xVery low
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20232.6xModerate

MARA's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

SMCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SMCI has more cash than debt.

MARA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.4Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

MARA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

SMCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MARA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMARASector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMCI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMCISector medianRelative
PE5.7x28x80% below
PE %03535 pts below

SMCI is trading at 5.7x earnings, a 80% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MARA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5416% below
20 week MA$10.330% below
50 week MA$10.632% below
100 week MA$13.346% below
200 week MA$14.450% below

MARA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

SMCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.323% below
20 week MA$34.221% below
50 week MA$32.317% below
100 week MA$36.927% below
200 week MA$39.832% below

SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

MARA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.90$10.9+1113%
2021$10.9$38.1+249%
2022$38.1$3.62-91%
2023$3.62$23.5+549%
2024$23.5$18.4-21%
2025$18.4$9.59-48%
2026 YTD$9.59$7.20-25%

MARA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1113% in 2020 to −91% in 2022. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

SMCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.41$3.05+27%
2021$3.05$4.27+40%
2022$4.27$8.22+93%
2023$8.22$28.4+246%
2024$28.4$32.0+12%
2025$32.0$30.6-4.2%
2026 YTD$30.6$27.0-12%

SMCI has the edge over MARA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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