MARA

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MARA yet.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MARA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

MARA's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MARA.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MARA PE Valuation

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

MARA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MARA's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

MARA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.20 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MARA and MSFT's risk to reward.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MARA and MSFT's risk to reward.

MARA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
Q4 2023: $0.92Q1 2024: $2.23Q2 2024: $1.64Q3 2024: $0.87Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $-1.09Q2 2025: $1.47Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $-3.69Q1 2026: $-5.45Q2 2026: $-8.89Q3 2026: $-7.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$7.88-465%
Q2 2026-$8.89-705%
Q1 2026-$5.45-$4.36
Q4 2025-$3.69-315%
Q3 2025$2.16+148%
Q2 2025$1.47-10%
Q1 2025-$1.09-149%
Q4 2024$1.72+87%

MARA has swung to a loss: it lost $7.88 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over MARA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MARA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $214MQ2 2025: $238MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $202MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $175MQ3 2026: $164M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$164.2M-35%
Q2 2026$174.9M-27%
Q1 2026$174.6M-18%
Q4 2025$202.3M-5.6%
Q3 2025$252.4M+92%
Q2 2025$238.5M+64%
Q1 2025$213.9M+29%
Q4 2024$214.4M+37%

MARA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $164M last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over MARA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MARA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$93MQ1 2024: −$97MQ2 2024: −$132MQ3 2024: −$198MQ4 2024: −$500MQ1 2025: −$254MQ2 2025: −$282MQ3 2025: −$284MQ4 2025: −$389MQ1 2026: −$327MQ2 2026: −$239MQ3 2026: −$264M
Q4 2023: −$93MQ1 2024: −$97MQ2 2024: −$132MQ3 2024: −$198MQ4 2024: −$500MQ1 2025: −$254MQ2 2025: −$282MQ3 2025: −$284MQ4 2025: −$389MQ1 2026: −$327MQ2 2026: −$239MQ3 2026: −$264M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$263.6M+$20.3M
Q2 2026-$238.5M+$43.8M
Q1 2026-$327M-$72.7M
Q4 2025-$389.2M+$110.7M
Q3 2025-$283.9M-$85.8M
Q2 2025-$282.4M-$150M
Q1 2025-$254.3M-$156.9M
Q4 2024-$499.9M-$407M

MARA's free cash flow was −$1.2B over the past year, against −$1.3B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over MARA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MARA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
Q1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 279MQ3 2024: 295MQ4 2024: 312MQ1 2025: 344MQ2 2025: 441MQ3 2025: 470MQ1 2026: 380MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 496M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+30%+115M shares
1 year+13%+55.5M shares
3 years+212%+337M shares
5 years+416%+400M shares

MARA has 496M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over MARA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MARA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate
Q3 20240.9xVery low
Q2 20240.1xVery low
Q1 20240.0xVery low
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20232.6xModerate

MARA's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MARA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.4Neutral
Stochastic10.2Oversold

MARA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MARA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMARASector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MARA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5416% below
20 week MA$10.330% below
50 week MA$10.632% below
100 week MA$13.346% below
200 week MA$14.450% below

MARA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over MARA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MARA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.90$10.9+1113%
2021$10.9$38.1+249%
2022$38.1$3.62-91%
2023$3.62$23.5+549%
2024$23.5$18.4-21%
2025$18.4$9.59-48%
2026 YTD$9.59$7.20-25%

MARA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1113% in 2020 to −91% in 2022. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over MARA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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