MAR

Marriott International, Inc.

54
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MAR has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MAR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable

MAR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MAR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x133x200x266x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x133x200x266x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$235-45%
Fair31x$306-28%
Forward33x$425—
Current42x$425—
Expensive53x$529+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAR has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MAR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

MAR has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MAR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$492.72
Downside-16%$356.61

Calculated from the latest close: $424.66 on Nov 12.

MAR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails MAR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MAR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.18Q1 2024: $9.68Q2 2024: $9.99Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $8.33Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.88Q3 2025: $9.48Q4 2025: $9.51Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $9.67Q3 2026: $10.04Forward: $12.98
Q4 2023: $10.18Q1 2024: $9.68Q2 2024: $9.99Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $8.33Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.88Q3 2025: $9.48Q4 2025: $9.51Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $9.67Q3 2026: $10.04Forward: $12.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.98+29%
Q3 2026$10.04+5.9%
Q2 2026$9.67+8.9%
Q1 2026$9.55+8.6%
Q4 2025$9.51+14%
Q3 2025$9.48-0.7%
Q2 2025$8.88-11%
Q1 2025$8.79-9.2%
Q4 2024$8.33-18%

MAR has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

MAR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.4BQ3 2024: $6.3BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6.3BQ2 2025: $6.7BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $6.7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7B
Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.4BQ3 2024: $6.3BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6.3BQ2 2025: $6.7BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $6.7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7B+8%
Q2 2026$7.1B+4.8%
Q1 2026$6.7B+6.2%
Q4 2025$6.7B+4.1%
Q3 2025$6.5B+3.7%
Q2 2025$6.7B+4.7%
Q1 2025$6.3B+4.8%
Q4 2024$6.4B+5.5%

MAR has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MAR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $617MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $647MQ3 2024: $706MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: $512MQ2 2025: $488MQ3 2025: $951MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $728MQ2 2026: $796MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $617MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $647MQ3 2024: $706MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: $512MQ2 2025: $488MQ3 2025: $951MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $728MQ2 2026: $796MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+37%
Q2 2026$796M+63%
Q1 2026$728M+42%
Q4 2025$657M+$681M
Q3 2025$951M+35%
Q2 2025$488M-25%
Q1 2025$512M-24%
Q4 2024-$24M-104%

MAR has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

MAR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 303MQ1 2024: 292MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 282MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 278MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 265MQ3 2026: 261M
Q4 2023: 303MQ1 2024: 292MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 282MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 278MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 265MQ3 2026: 261M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.3M shares
1 year-4.1%-11.3M shares
3 years-13%-38.9M shares
5 years-21%-68.1M shares
Available history-22%-74.3M shares

MAR has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MAR Net Leverage

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

MAR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic89.3Overbought

MAR's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MAR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMARSector medianRelative
PE42x18x135% above
PE %814734 pts above

MAR has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MAR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$387.09.7% above
20 week MA$369.315% above
50 week MA$353.320% above
100 week MA$310.137% above
200 week MA$263.561% above

MAR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 61% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

MAR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$152.7$128.8-16%
2021$128.8$165.2+28%
2022$165.2$148.6-10%
2023$148.6$225.5+52%
2024$225.5$283.7+26%
2025$283.7$315.6+11%
2026 YTD$315.6$424.7+35%

MAR has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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