MAR
Marriott International, Inc.
MAR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over MAR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MAR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
MAR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MAR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 23x | $235 | -45% |
| Fair | 31x | $306 | -28% |
| Forward | 33x | $425 | — |
| Current | 42x | $425 | — |
| Expensive | 53x | $529 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MAR's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MAR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MAR, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
MAR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.98 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.04 | +5.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.67 | +8.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.55 | +8.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.51 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.48 | -0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.88 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.79 | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.33 | -18% |
MAR has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
MAR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7B | +8% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.7B | +6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.7B | +4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.5B | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.7B | +4.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.4B | +5.5% |
MAR's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $7B last quarter, up 8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | -0.1 points |
MAR has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MAR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $796M | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $728M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $657M | +$681M |
| Q3 2025 | $951M | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $488M | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $512M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | -$24M | -104% |
MAR has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
MAR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.3M shares |
| 1 year | -4.1% | -11.3M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -38.9M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -68.1M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -74.3M shares |
MAR has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $700M |
| Q4 2025 | $1B |
| Q3 2025 | $800M |
| Q2 2025 | $749M |
| Q1 2025 | $751M |
| Q4 2024 | $586M |
MAR spent $4.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 41% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MAR Net Leverage
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MAR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 72.9 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 89.3 | Overbought |
MAR's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MAR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MAR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42x | 18x | 135% above |
| PE % | 81 | 47 | 34 pts above |
MAR is trading at 42x earnings, a 135% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MAR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $387.0 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $369.3 | 15% above |
| 50 week MA | $353.3 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $310.1 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $263.5 | 61% above |
MAR has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
MAR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $152.7 | $128.8 | -16% |
| 2021 | $128.8 | $165.2 | +28% |
| 2022 | $165.2 | $148.6 | -10% |
| 2023 | $148.6 | $225.5 | +52% |
| 2024 | $225.5 | $283.7 | +26% |
| 2025 | $283.7 | $315.6 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $315.6 | $424.7 | +35% |
MAR has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.