MANU

Manchester United plc

56
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

MANU has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over MANU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MANU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Stable

MANU's revenue is currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MANU PE Valuation

MANU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MANU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MANU to return to profit, with revenue growing.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MANU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$27.71
Downside-17%$18.92

Calculated from the latest close: $22.83 on Nov 12.

MANU trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MANU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MANU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.23Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.07Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.34
Q3 2023: $-0.23Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.07Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.34-$0.09
Q1 2026-$0.14+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.07+$1.00
Q3 2025-$0.31+$0.38
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.67
Q1 2025-$0.52+$0.13
Q4 2024-$1.07-$0.95
Q3 2024-$0.69-$0.46

RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 236% for MANU versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MANU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $217MQ4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $250MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $211M
Q3 2023: $217MQ4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $250MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $211M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$211.2M-0.6%
Q1 2026$252.1M+21%
Q4 2025$249.9M-7.7%
Q3 2025$187.2M+1.2%
Q2 2025$212.5M+13%
Q1 2025$207.9M+13%
Q4 2024$270.7M-8.2%
Q3 2024$184.9M-15%

MANU's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $211M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over MANU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MANU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$159MQ4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$49MQ2 2024: $158MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$93MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: −$241MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: $131M
Q3 2023: −$159MQ4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$49MQ2 2024: $158MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$93MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: −$241MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$131M+9.9%
Q1 2026-$20.1M+$20.6M
Q4 2025-$88.9M+$4.5M
Q3 2025-$240.6M-$40.1M
Q2 2025$119.3M-25%
Q1 2025-$40.7M+$8.1M
Q4 2024-$93.3M+$19.8M
Q3 2024-$200.5M-$41.2M

MANU has burned cash in most quarters: −$219M over the past year, against −$215M the year before.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over MANU on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MANU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 163MQ4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 169MQ4 2024: 170MQ1 2025: 172MQ2 2025: 172MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 172MQ2 2026: 172M
Q3 2023: 163MQ4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 169MQ4 2024: 170MQ1 2025: 172MQ2 2025: 172MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 172MQ2 2026: 172M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+81K shares
3 years+5.7%+9.4M shares
5 years+5.8%+9.5M shares
Available history+4.7%+7.7M shares

MANU has 172M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over MANU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MANU Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 6.1xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4x
Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 6.1xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20246.1xHigh
Q3 20243.5xElevated

MANU's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over MANU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MANU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.5Neutral
Stochastic57.7Neutral

MANU's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MANU PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMANUSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

MANU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

MANU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.18.5% above
20 week MA$21.75.3% above
50 week MA$19.517% above
100 week MA$17.729% above
200 week MA$18.325% above

MANU has stronger trend alignment. MANU is above 5 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

MANU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.8$16.6-16%
2021$16.6$14.2-14%
2022$14.2$22.5+58%
2023$22.5$20.4-9.3%
2024$20.4$17.0-17%
2025$17.0$15.9-6.8%
2026 YTD$15.9$22.8+44%

MANU has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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