MANU

Manchester United plc

56
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

MANU's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over MANU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MANU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Stable

MANU's revenue is currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MANU PE Valuation

MANU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

MANU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MANU to return to profit, with revenue growing.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

MANU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$27.71
Downside-17%$18.92

Calculated from the latest close: $22.83 on Nov 12.

MANU trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MANU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MANU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.23Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.07Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.34
Q3 2023: $-0.23Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.65Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.69Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.31Q4 2025: $-0.07Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.34-$0.09
Q1 2026-$0.14+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.07+$1.00
Q3 2025-$0.31+$0.38
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.67
Q1 2025-$0.52+$0.13
Q4 2024-$1.07-$0.95
Q3 2024-$0.69-$0.46

MANU is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.34 per share over the past year, against $1.24 at its worst in early 2022.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over MANU on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MANU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $217MQ4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $250MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $211M
Q3 2023: $217MQ4 2023: $295MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $185MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $187MQ4 2025: $250MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $211M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$211.2M-0.6%
Q1 2026$252.1M+21%
Q4 2025$249.9M-7.7%
Q3 2025$187.2M+1.2%
Q2 2025$212.5M+13%
Q1 2025$207.9M+13%
Q4 2024$270.7M-8.2%
Q3 2024$184.9M-15%

MANU's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $211M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over MANU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MANU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$159MQ4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$49MQ2 2024: $158MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$93MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: −$241MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: $131M
Q3 2023: −$159MQ4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$49MQ2 2024: $158MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$93MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: −$241MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$131M+9.9%
Q1 2026-$20.1M+$20.6M
Q4 2025-$88.9M+$4.5M
Q3 2025-$240.6M-$40.1M
Q2 2025$119.3M-25%
Q1 2025-$40.7M+$8.1M
Q4 2024-$93.3M+$19.8M
Q3 2024-$200.5M-$41.2M

MANU has burned cash in most quarters: −$219M over the past year, against −$215M the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over MANU on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MANU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 163MQ4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 169MQ4 2024: 170MQ1 2025: 172MQ2 2025: 172MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 172MQ2 2026: 172M
Q3 2023: 163MQ4 2023: 164MQ1 2024: 166MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 169MQ4 2024: 170MQ1 2025: 172MQ2 2025: 172MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 172MQ2 2026: 172M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+81K shares
3 years+5.7%+9.4M shares
5 years+5.8%+9.5M shares
Available history+4.7%+7.7M shares

MANU has 172M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over MANU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MANU Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 6.1xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4x
Q3 2023: 3.4xQ4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.9xQ2 2024: 4.2xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 6.1xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20246.1xHigh
Q3 20243.5xElevated

MANU's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over MANU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MANU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.5Neutral
Stochastic57.7Neutral

MANU's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MANU PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMANUSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

MANU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

MANU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.18.5% above
20 week MA$21.75.3% above
50 week MA$19.517% above
100 week MA$17.729% above
200 week MA$18.325% above

MANU has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

MANU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.8$16.6-16%
2021$16.6$14.2-14%
2022$14.2$22.5+58%
2023$22.5$20.4-9.3%
2024$20.4$17.0-17%
2025$17.0$15.9-6.8%
2026 YTD$15.9$22.8+44%

MANU has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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