MA
Mastercard Incorporated
MA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over MA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
MA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MA's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MA.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
MA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 29x | $653 | — |
| Cheap | 34x | $646 | -1% |
| Current | 34x | $653 | — |
| Fair | 38x | $725 | +11% |
| Expensive | 46x | $877 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MA's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over MA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MA, with profitability improving.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
MA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.24 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.12 | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.18 | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.28 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.52 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.64 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.83 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.26 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.89 | +17% |
MA has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
MA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.8B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.3B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.8B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.6B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.1B | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.3B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.5B | +14% |
MA's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $9.8B last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 60% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 60% | +1.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 58% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 56% | +3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 59% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 59% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 57% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 53% | +1.1 points |
MA has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over MA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.9B | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | -24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8B | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.9B | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.5B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +51% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B | +17% |
MA has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
MA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -3.2% | -29M shares |
| 3 years | -7.1% | -67M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -114M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -137M shares |
MA has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.9B |
| Q1 2026 | $4B |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B |
MA spent $15.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 33% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
MA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
MA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MA.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over MA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 73.0 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 83.7 | Overbought |
MA's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
MA PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 13x | 162% above |
| PE % | 18 | 63 | 45 pts below |
MA is trading at 34x earnings, a 162% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI has the edge over MA on valuation relative to its sector.
MA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $611.7 | 6.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $581.9 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $544.5 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $549.6 | 19% above |
| 200 week MA | $489.6 | 33% above |
MA has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
MA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $300.7 | $336.0 | +12% |
| 2021 | $336.0 | $360.6 | +7.3% |
| 2022 | $360.6 | $343.6 | -4.7% |
| 2023 | $343.6 | $426.5 | +24% |
| 2024 | $426.5 | $532.2 | +25% |
| 2025 | $532.2 | $579.6 | +8.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $579.6 | $652.6 | +13% |
MA has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.